Table 3. Breakdown of infected cases, ICER, and costs of the best scenarios.
# Infected Children (0–18) | # Infected Adults (19–59) | # Infected Seniors (60+) | Overall AR | Change compared to baseline | Medical costs of illness (HKD, bn) | Cost to stay home with sick children (HKD, bn) | Cost to stay home due to school closure (HKD, bn) | Total Cost (HKD, bn) | Total Cost per 100,000 people (USD, m) | ICER (HKD, bn) | Exp # deaths | Cost per Case Prevented (USD) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Baseline | 510,459 | 402,419 | 34,765 | 9.22% | 2.11 | 0.43 | 0.00 | 2.55 | 4.64 | 65.08 | - | ||
FCF2-KPS-SCL8 | 453,192 | 300,441 | 25,135 | 7.37% | -20.05% | 1.74 | 0.36 | 49.98 | 52.08 | 95.05 | 2679.64 | 49.45 | 37,850 |
NC300-KPS-SCL8 | 466,313 | 320,886 | 27,083 | 7.76% | -15.86% | 1.82 | 0.37 | 49.98 | 52.18 | 95.22 | 3394.89 | 52.62 | 48,022 |
NDC100-KPS-SCL8 | 365,338 | 202,191 | 16,474 | 5.33% | -42.16% | 1.31 | 0.26 | 50.96 | 52.53 | 95.87 | 1286.10 | 34.07 | 17,738 |
NCP1-KP-SCL1 | 469,461 | 326,516 | 27,632 | 7.86% | -14.76% | 1.84 | 0.38 | 3.68 | 5.90 | 10.76 | 246.35 | 53.48 | 3,487 |
NCP1-KPS-SCL1 | 237,977 | 126,465 | 10,314 | 3.36% | -63.58% | 0.84 | 0.15 | 7.12 | 8.12 | 14.81 | 95.04 | 21.46 | 1,255 |
NCP3-KP-SCL1 | 456,250 | 312,014 | 26,390 | 7.56% | -18.03% | 1.78 | 0.36 | 3.65 | 5.78 | 10.55 | 194.76 | 51.22 | 2,730 |
NCP3-KPS-SCL1 | 264,102 | 148,987 | 12,191 | 3.86% | -58.08% | 0.96 | 0.17 | 6.84 | 7.97 | 14.55 | 101.32 | 25.04 | 1,340 |
NCP3-KPS-SCL2 | 73,584 | 41,560 | 3,483 | 1.05% | -88.58% | 0.27 | 0.04 | 9.60 | 9.90 | 18.07 | 90.11 | 7.01 | 1,145 |
NCP5-KP-SCL1 | 465,627 | 325,336 | 27,684 | 7.81% | -15.25% | 1.83 | 0.37 | 3.61 | 5.80 | 10.59 | 231.77 | 53.30 | 3,259 |
NCP5-KPS-SCL1 | 328,219 | 195,122 | 16,041 | 4.97% | -46.04% | 1.21 | 0.23 | 6.88 | 8.31 | 15.17 | 135.92 | 32.55 | 1,823 |
NCP10-KP-SCL8 | 239,530 | 157,227 | 13,496 | 3.80% | -58.82% | 0.92 | 0.16 | 18.90 | 19.98 | 36.47 | 321.53 | 26.01 | 4,187 |
NCP10-KPS-SCL2 | 306,458 | 184,103 | 15,133 | 4.66% | -49.41% | 1.14 | 0.20 | 12.91 | 14.24 | 26.00 | 256.82 | 30.67 | 3,416 |