FIGURE 5.

Estimate of the (A) number of people living with HIV and (B) number of people living with undiagnosed HIV in a hypothetical epidemic by data availability (high, medium, and low; see Table). Columns and error bars: modeled median and 90% plausibility range. “Based on prior distributions” refers to the outputs when all parameter sets are considered (none excluded by calibration-score criteria). The reference line (dotted) refers to the actual number of people living with HIV in the hypothetical epidemic.