Table 1.
Key epidemiological features of the EVD epidemic in Sierra Leone estimated by the model during the first and second study period (21 December 2014 to 17 April 2015)
Period | Variable | Mean | 95% CI |
---|---|---|---|
First (21 December–18 February 2015) | ![]() |
0.37 | 0.33 to 0.41 |
Network density (α) | 0.55 | 0.51 to 0.58 | |
Time to death (days) | 3.6 | 3.3 to 4.0 | |
Time to recovery (days) | 9.5 | 8.6 to 10.7 | |
CFR (%) | 32 | 31 to 33 | |
![]() |
0.77 | 0.72 to 0.82 | |
Second (18 February–17 April 2015) | ![]() |
0.22 | 0.20 to 0.24 |
Network density (α) | 0.63 | 0.59 to 0.68 | |
Time to death (days) | 3.6 | 3.3 to 4.0 | |
Time to recovery (days) | 8.0 | 6.5 to 10.5 | |
CFR (%) | 39 | 38 to 40 | |
![]() |
1.98 | 1.33 to 2.22 |
CFR, case fatality rate (); EVD, Ebola virus disease;
, effective reproductive number;
, rewiring switching probability.