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. 2016 Jan 29;6(1):e008649. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2015-008649

Table 1.

Key epidemiological features of the EVD epidemic in Sierra Leone estimated by the model during the first and second study period (21 December 2014 to 17 April 2015)

Period Variable Mean 95% CI
First (21 December–18 February 2015) Inline graphic 0.37 0.33 to 0.41
Network density (α) 0.55 0.51 to 0.58
Time to death (days) 3.6 3.3 to 4.0
Time to recovery (days) 9.5 8.6 to 10.7
CFR (%) 32 31 to 33
Inline graphic 0.77 0.72 to 0.82
Second (18 February–17 April 2015) Inline graphic 0.22 0.20 to 0.24
Network density (α) 0.63 0.59 to 0.68
Time to death (days) 3.6 3.3 to 4.0
Time to recovery (days) 8.0 6.5 to 10.5
CFR (%) 39 38 to 40
Inline graphic 1.98 1.33 to 2.22

CFR, case fatality rate (Inline graphic); EVD, Ebola virus disease; Inline graphic, effective reproductive number; Inline graphic, rewiring switching probability.