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. 2016 Jan 29;6(1):e008649. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2015-008649

Table 3.

Up-to-date key epidemiological features of the EVD epidemic in Sierra Leone estimated by the model during the period (18 June–15 August 2015)

Period Variable Mean 95% CI
(18 June–16 July 2015) Inline graphic 0.69 0.67 to 0.72
Network density (α) 0.47 0.42 to 0.51
Time to death (days) 3.0 2.8 to 3.2
Time to recovery (days) 20 16 to 30
CFR (%) 10 8 to 12
Inline graphic 1.38 0.95 to 1.72
(16 July–15 August 2015) Inline graphic 0.75 0.69 to 0.80
Network density (α) 0.46 0.37 to 0.53
Time to death (days) 3.0 2.8 to 3.2
Time to recovery (days) 16 8 to 32
CFR (%) 10 8 to 12
Inline graphic 0.68 0.47 to 1.01

CFR, case fatality rate (Inline graphic); EVD, Ebola virus disease;Inline graphic, effective reproductive number; Inline graphic, rewiring switching probability.