Table 4.
Deaths delayed or averted under each scenario | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
A | B | C | D | |
Total | 302 (−116 to 718) | 86 (−412 to 599) | 1249 (792 to 1699) | 2023 (1169 to 2884) |
Total (<75 years) | 276 (112 to 439) | 169 (−58 to 401) | 586 (395 to 775) | 811 (493 to 1131) |
Diet (excluding obesity) | 171 (−156 to 497) | 1545 (1367 to 1721) | 477 (349 to 598) | 1861 (1597 to 2117) |
Diet (including obesity) | 204 (−174 to 580) | 33 (−393 to 473) | 1152 (752 to 1545) | 1970 (1154 to 2794) |
Fruit and vegetables | −500 (−692 to −311) | 521 (209 to 829) | −142 (−149 to −142) | 960 (835 to 1077) |
Fibre | 237 (136 to 339) | 459 (345 to 573) | 245 (147 to 342) | 472 (351 to 592) |
Fats | 522 (485 to 560) | 750 (729 to 771) | 461 (442 to 481) | 605 (582 to 623) |
Salt | −90 (−91 to −89) | −183 (−184 to −180) | −88 (−93 to −84) | −171 (−170 to −169) |
Alcohol consumption | 98 (58 to 138) | 53 (−19 to 125) | 97 (40 to 154) | 52 (14 to 90) |
Cardiovascular disease | 213 (−121 to 546) | 198 (−154 to 559) | 925 (584 to 1259) | 1638 (975 to 2306) |
Diabetes | −1 (−2 to 1) | −77 (−106 to −48) | 31 (19 to 44) | 4 (−23 to 32) |
Cancer | 26 (−27 to 79) | 40 (10 to 72) | 185 (135 to 234) | 340 (239 to 442) |
Liver disease | 62 (35 to 91) | −55 (−136 to 26) | 99 (48 to 150) | 39 (−17 to 95) |
95 % credible intervals in parentheses