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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2017 Feb 1.
Published in final edited form as: World Dev. 2016 Feb 1;78:541–553. doi: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2015.10.022

Table 2.

Poverty Transition Matrix: Empirical Probability of Transitions Poverty Status from One Period to Later Period(s)

1993 1997 2000 2004 2006

Poverty Status: Poor Non-Poor Poor Non-Poor Poor Non-Poor Poor Non-Poor Poor Non-Poor
1991 Poor 0.54 0.15 0.41 0.29 0.34 0.35 0.19 0.50 0.13 0.56
Non-Poor 0.15 0.15 0.09 0.22 0.08 0.23 0.04 0.27 0.04 0.27

1993 Poor 0.40 0.29 0.33 0.36 0.16 0.53 0.14 0.55
Non-Poor 0.10 0.21 0.09 0.22 0.07 0.24 0.03 0.27

1997 Poor 0.27 0.22 0.17 0.33 0.10 0.39
Non-Poor 0.15 0.35 0.06 0.45 0.07 0.43

2000 Poor 0.13 0.30 0.11 0.31
Non-Poor 0.10 0.48 0.07 0.51

2004 Poor 0.07 0.15
Non-Poor 0.10 0.67

Note: Empirical probabilities are computed as sample averages for each of the particular transition categories.