Table 3. ARIMA modelling outcomes for three Dutch smoking cessation policies of RSV data from the Netherlands and Belgium (corrected for Belgian interventions).
The Netherlands | Belgium (control group) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Period | Estimated ratio of change in RSV | 95% CI | Estimated ratio of change in RSV | 95% CI | |
Smoking ban restaurants and bars 2008 | |||||
Weeks before intervention | 9–16 | 0.98 | (0.89–1.07) | 1.01 | (0.90–1.12) |
5–8 | 0.95 | (0.84–1.07) | 1.03 | (0.91–1.18) | |
3–4 | 0.99 | (0.86–1.13) | 0.99 | (0.84–1.15) | |
2 | 1.02 | (0.87–1.18) | 0.98 | (0.82–1.19) | |
1 | 0.97 | (0.83–1.14) | 1.05 | (0.87–1.27) | |
Weeks after intervention | 1 | 1.21* | (1.04–1.42) | 1.01 | (0.84–1.22) |
2 | 1.41* | (1.21–1.64) | 1.07 | (0.89–1.29) | |
3–4 | 1.25* | (1.08–1.43) | 0.95 | (0.81–1.13) | |
5–8 | 1.08 | (0.96–1.22) | 1.02 | (0.88–1.18) | |
9–16 | 1.04 | (0.94–1.15) | 0.96 | (0.84–1.10) | |
17–32 | 0.99 | (0.91–1.08) | 0.91 | (0.81–1.02) | |
33–52 | 0.99 | (0.92–1.07) | 0.95 | (0.86–1.05) | |
Reimbursement SCS 2011 | |||||
Weeks before intervention | 9–16 | 0.98 | (0.89–1.07) | 1.09 | (0.98–1.20) |
5–8 | 1.06 | (0.94–1.20) | 1.25* | (1.09–1.43) | |
3–4 | 0.94 | (0.82–1.08) | 1.05 | (0.89–1.22) | |
2 | 1.00 | (0.86–1.16) | 1.10 | (0.92–1.32) | |
1 | 1.07 | (0.89–1.21) | 0.83 | (0.69–1.00) | |
Weeks after intervention | 1 | 1.04 | (0.85–1.17) | 0.86 | (0.71–1.04) |
2 | 0.98 | (0.84–1.14) | 1.10 | (0.91–1.32) | |
3–4 | 1.16* | (1.01–1.33) | 1.26* | (1.07–1.48) | |
5–8 | 1.21* | (1.08–1.37) | 1.19* | (1.03–1.38) | |
9–16 | 1.18* | (1.06–1.30) | 1.20* | (1.04–1.35) | |
17–32 | 1.22* | (1.13–1.33) | 0.95 | (0.81–1.10) | |
33–52 | 1.20* | (1.13–1.33) | 0.99 | (0.89–1.09) | |
Reimbursement SCS 2013 | |||||
Weeks before intervention | 9–16 | 1.03 | (0.94–1.13) | 0.86* | (0.76–0.97) |
5–8 | 1.01 | (0.90–1.14) | 0.84* | (0.70–0.98) | |
3–4 | 1.02 | (0.89–1.17) | 0.87 | (0.70–1.04) | |
2 | 0.98 | (0.84–1.14) | 0.94 | (0.75–1.14) | |
1 | 1.03 | (0.88–1.21) | 0.89 | (0.69–1.09) | |
Weeks after intervention | 1 | 0.85* | (0.72–0.99) | 0.80* | (0.66–0.98) |
2 | 0.99 | (0.85–1.15) | 1.01 | (0.82–1.23) | |
3–4 | 1.17* | (1.02–1.34) | 0.89 | (0.74–1.27) | |
5–8 | 1.14* | (1.01–1.29) | 0.88 | (0.74–1.05) | |
9–16 | 1.21* | (1.09–1.33) | 0.91 | (0.76–1.08) | |
17–32 | 1.09* | (1.00–1.19) | 0.96 | (0.79–1.16) | |
33–52 | 1.08 | (1.00–1.18) | 0.95 | (0.77–1.17) |
CI: confidence interval
* Significant at P<0.05.