. 2015 May 8;21:33–49. doi: 10.1007/s10459-015-9609-x

Table 3.

Predictive validity of three versions of the Medical College Admission Test for 153 graduates of the Vanderbilt Medical Scientist Training Program

Cohort (Matriculation years) (N)	mspGPA			mscGPA			Step I Score			Step II Score			Step III Score
Cohort (Matriculation years) (N)	β^b	CI	p value	β	CI	p value	β	CI	p value	β	CI	p value	β	CI	p value
Cohort 1 (1963–1977) (N = 32)
uGPA	*0.22*	*[0.04, −0.41]*	*0.03*	0.09	[−0.06, −0.25]	0.24	1.88	[−24.34, −28.10]	0.89	−4.21	[−31.90, −23.48]	0.77	−0.06	[−11.55, −11.44]	0.99
MCAT^a	−0.0011	0.002, −0.000I	0.08	0.0001	[−0.001, 0.001]	0.89	−0.03	[−0.17, −0.10]	0.63	0.07	[−0.07, −0.22]	0.34	0.02	[−0.06, −0.10]	0.60
Cohort 2 (1978–1991) (N = 65)
uGPA	*0.32*	*[0.12,* − *0.51]*	*0.003*	*0.34*	*[0.09,* − *0.59]*	*0.01*	−1.83	[−19.87, −16.23]	0.84	6.27	[−12.18, −24.72]	0.51	5.73	[−13.20, −24.67]	0.56
MCAT^c	0.003	[−0.01, −0.02]	0.66	0.004	[−0.01, −0.02]	0.65	0.74	[−0.50, −1.97]	0.25	*1.36*	*[0.09,* − *2.63]*	*0.04*	1.01	[−0.18, −2.20]	0.11
Cohort 3 (1992–2003) (N = 56)
uGPA	0.25	[−0.07, −0.57]	0.13	0.09	[−0.26, −0.44]	0.61	11.34	[−12.09, −34.77]	0.35	28.95	[−1.22, −59.12]	0.07	9.40	[−20.78, −39.59]	0.55
MCAT^d	−0.001	[−0.02, −0.02]	0.94	*0.03*	*[0.01,* − *0.06]*	*0.02*	0.48	[−1.25, −2.20]	0.59	1.43	[−0.92, −3.77]	0.24	0.27	[−1.62, −2.17]	0.78
uGPA	0.15	[−0.20, −0.45]	0.41	0.09	[−0.32, −0.51]	0.66	12.39	[−11.75, −36.53]	0.32	33.06	[−0.35, −66.47]	0.06	2.56	[−29.76,−34.88]	0.88
MCAT (PS)^e	0.0001	[−0.05, −0.05]	0.99	0.01	[−0.05, −0.07]	0.74	−0.41	[−3.88, −3.07]	0.82	−2.95	[−7.78, −1.89]	0.24	−3.23	[−6.659, −0.195]	0.08
MCAT (BS)	−0.04	[−0.10, −0.03]	0.25	−0.01	[−0.09, −0.07]	0.82	−0.45	[−4.60, −3.71]	0.84	3.69	[−2.37, −9.76]	0.24	1.98	[−2.578, −6.534]	0.40
MCAT (VR)	0.03	[−0.03, −0.09]	0.34	0.03	[−0.04, −0.09]	0.46	2.34	[−2.20, −6.89]	0.32	0.66	[−5.63, −6.94]	0.84	3.14	[−2.268, −8.549]	0.27

^aMCAT subscores between 1963 and 1977 consisted of Science Achievement, General Information, Quantitative Ability, and Verbal Ability

^bNumbers indicate slope (p), confidence interval (CI) and p value. Italicized numbers indicate statistically significant associations, and bold numbers indicate associations approaching significance

^cMCAT subscores between 1978 and 1991 consisted of Biology, Chemistry, Physics, Science Problem Solving, Quantitative Skills, and Reading Skills

^dMCAT subscores between 1992 and 2003 consisted of Biological Sciences, Physical Sciences, and Verbal Reasoning

^eMCAT PS Physical Sciences, BS Biological Sciences, and VR Verbal Reasoning subscores