Table 2.

Actuarial probability of BCR and metastasis in men with greater than 10 years of recurrence-free followup after RP

	Organ Confined	Pos Surgical Margins	Extraprostatic Extension	Seminal Vesicle Invasion	Lymph Node Metastases
Biochemical recurrence
Gleason 6:
No. pts	754	95	373	9	3
Actuarial probability (95% CI)	3.9 (2.1–7.3)	30.1 (18.5–46.7)	17.9 (13.0–24.4)	20.0 (3.1–79.6)	66.7 (22.6–99.1)
Gleason 3+4:
No. pts	123	40	166	15	10
Actuarial probability (95% CI)	12.2 (3.6–36.7)	16.7 (7.1–36.5)	7.6 (3.6–15.3)	—	—
Gleason 4+3 or greater:
No. pts	44	14	66	8	1
Actuarial probability (95% CI)	14.1 (3.6–46.8)	37.3 (11.7–82.8)	25.7 (13.1–46.5)	46.7 (13.7–93.2)	—
Metastasis
Gleason 6:
No. pts	754	95	373	9	3
Actuarial probability (95% CI)	0	0	0	0	0
Gleason 3+4:
No. pts	123	40	166	15	10
Actuarial probability (95% CI)	2.2 (0.3–14.7)	0	0	0	—
Gleason 4+3 or greater:
No. pts	44	14	66	8	1
Actuarial probability (95% CI)	0	14.3 (2.1–66.6)	2.0 (0.3–13.1)	20.0 (3.1–79.6)	—