Table 1. Agreement between the observation and the simulations. Pearson correlation coefficients (ρ) are presented with p-values adjusted with Benjamini & Hochberg multiple test correction.

Province	Θ1	Θ2	Θ3
Bologna	0.881*	0.883*	0.846*
Ferrara	0.629*	0.659*	0.583*
Modena	0.786*	0.795*	0.719*
Piacenza	0.746*	0.314+	0.144
Parma	0.607*	0.539*	0.346+
Ravenna	0.505*	0.499*	0.562*
Reggio Emilia	0.744*	0.498*	0.399+
All data points	0.690*	0.627*	0.582*

⁺: p < 0.05,

*: p < 0.001.