Table 3A. Prediction models.

	Landmark time point: 6 months (n=10 549)			Landmark time point: 12 months (n=10 432)				Landmark time point: 18 months (n=10 027)
Variables	HR (95% CI)	P	Trend/overall P	HR (95%CI)	P	Trend/overall P	HR (95%CI)	P	Trend/overall P
Hypertension status
<130/85 mm Hg	ref	—	0.055	ref	—	0.24	ref	—	0.045
⩾130/85 to <140/90 mm Hg	1.08 (0.67–1.76)	0.74	—	1.38 (0.79–2.39)	0.26	—	1.21 (0.64–2.28)	0.56	—
⩾140/90 to <160/100 mm Hg	1.20 (0.76–1.90)	0.44	—	1.56 (0.91–2.66)	0.10	—	1.51 (0.82–2.79)	0.19	—
⩾160/100 mm Hg	1.78 (0.97–3.25)	0.06	—	1.56 (0.71–3.42)	0.27	—	2.27 (0.97–5.32)	0.06	—
Sex
Women	ref	—	0.046	ref	—	0.03	ref	—	0.06
Men	1.47 (1.01–2.14)	0.046	—	1.60 (1.04–2.44)	0.03	—	1.61 (0.98–2.66)	0.06	—
Age
<65 years	ref	—	<0.01	ref	—	<0.01	ref	—	<0.01
⩾65 years	1.84 (1.30–2.62)	<0.01	—	1.96 (1.30–2.95)	<0.01	.	2.18 (1.34–3.54)	<0.01	—
Smoking status
Non-smoker	ref	—	<0.01	ref	—	0.23	ref	—	0.41
Smoker	1.75 (1.19–2.57)	<0.01	—	1.33 (0.84–2.09)	0.23	.	1.26 (0.73–2.17)	0.41	—
Family history of CAD
No	ref	—	0.02	ref	—	0.11	ref	—	0.22
Yes	1.89 (1.10–3.23)	0.02	—	1.71 (0.89–3.29)	0.11	—	1.63 (0.75–3.55)	0.22	—
Diabetes
No (Incl. borderline)	ref	—	<0.01	ref	—	<0.01	ref	—	<0.01
Yes	2.15 (1.53–3.03)	<0.01	—	1.81 (1.22–2.71)	<0.01	—	1.88 (1.18–3.01)	<0.01	—