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. 2015 Dec 29;4:e09672. doi: 10.7554/eLife.09672

Appendix figure 3. Parameter fits for the hurdle exponential NMCP prior.

Appendix figure 3.

(A,C) are the exponential rate priors on the per capita rates of cITN (A) and LLIN (C) distributions in a given year (see Equations 10 and 11). (B,D) are the Bernoulli hurdle probabilities that zero cITNs (B) or LLINs (D) are distributed in a given year (see Equations 12 and 13). Red points are the data, and blue line are optimised spline fits. cITNs, conventional insecticide-treated nets; LLINs, long-lasting insecticidal nets; NMCP, National Malaria Control Programme.

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.7554/eLife.09672.014