Table 5.
R calculations based on models with expected/observed fraction and final size.
group no. | vaccine strain | challenge strain | model with expected fraction |
model with observed fraction |
estimated R |
|||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
fraction | R | fraction | R | interval data | final size | |||
high vaccine dose | ||||||||
1 | H5N1 R65 | H5N1 R65 | 1 | 0.12 (0.017–0.795) | 1 | 0.12 (0.017–0.795) | 0 | 0 (<1.64) |
2 | R65-P18 | H5N1 R65 | 1 | 0.12 (0.017–0.795) | 1 | 0.12 (0.017–0.795) | 0.32 (0.04–2.74) | 0.38 (0.01–3.22) |
3 | R65-P30 | H5N1 R65 | 1 | 0.12 (0.017–0.795) | 1 | 0.12 (0.017–0.795) | 0.38 (0.05–2.69) | 0.38 (0.01–3.22) |
4 | unvaccinated | H5N1 R65 | 0 | 6.63 (1.06–41.5) | 0 | 6.63 (1.06–41.47) | ∞ | ∞ (0.84<) |
low vaccine dose | ||||||||
5 | H5N1 R65 | H5N1 R65 | 0.755113 | 1.71 (0.272–10.756) | 0.3 | 4.68 (0.747–29.268) | ∞ | ∞ (0.84<) |
6 | R65-P30 | H5N1 R65 | 0.697442 | 2.09 (0.333–13.102) | 0.6 | 2.72 (0.434–17.065) | 0.25 (0.02–3.43) | 0.38 (0.01–3.22) |
7 | H5N2 | H5N1 R65 | 0.262287 | 4.92 (0.786–30.801) | 0 | 6.63 (1.06–41.47) | ∞ | ∞ (0.84<) |
8 | unvaccinated | H5N1 R65 | 0 | 6.63 (1.06–41.5) | 0 | 6.63 (1.06–41.47) | 1.51 (0.15–14.85) | ∞ (0.84<) |
9 | t/T-P42 | H5N1 t/T | 0.732831 | 1.86 (0.296–11.662) | 0.8 | 1.42 (0.226–8.93) | 0 | 0 (<1.64) |
10 | H5N1 t/T | H5N1 t/T | 0.755113 | 1.71 (0.272–10.756) | 0.9 | 0.77 (0.121–4.863) | 0 | 0 (<1.64) |
11 | unvaccinated | H5N1 t/T | 0 | 6.63 (1.06–41.5) | 0 | 6.63 (1.06–41.47) | ∞ | ∞ (0.84<) |
group combinations | ||||||||
5 and 10 | homologous (low dose) | 0.755113 | 1.71 (0.272–10.756) | — | — | 0.32 (0.13–0.77) | 1.47 (0.30–3.44) | |
4,8,11 | unvaccinated | 0 | 6.63 (1.06–41.5) | — | — | 4.60 (1.39–15.2) | ∞ (1.99<) |