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. 2016 Jan;13(114):20150976. doi: 10.1098/rsif.2015.0976

Table 5.

R calculations based on models with expected/observed fraction and final size.

group no. vaccine strain challenge strain model with expected fraction
model with observed fraction
estimated R
fraction R fraction R interval data final size
high vaccine dose
 1 H5N1 R65 H5N1 R65 1 0.12 (0.017–0.795) 1 0.12 (0.017–0.795) 0 0 (<1.64)
 2 R65-P18 H5N1 R65 1 0.12 (0.017–0.795) 1 0.12 (0.017–0.795) 0.32 (0.04–2.74) 0.38 (0.01–3.22)
 3 R65-P30 H5N1 R65 1 0.12 (0.017–0.795) 1 0.12 (0.017–0.795) 0.38 (0.05–2.69) 0.38 (0.01–3.22)
 4 unvaccinated H5N1 R65 0 6.63 (1.06–41.5) 0 6.63 (1.06–41.47) ∞ (0.84<)
low vaccine dose
 5 H5N1 R65 H5N1 R65 0.755113 1.71 (0.272–10.756) 0.3 4.68 (0.747–29.268) ∞ (0.84<)
 6 R65-P30 H5N1 R65 0.697442 2.09 (0.333–13.102) 0.6 2.72 (0.434–17.065) 0.25 (0.02–3.43) 0.38 (0.01–3.22)
 7 H5N2 H5N1 R65 0.262287 4.92 (0.786–30.801) 0 6.63 (1.06–41.47) ∞ (0.84<)
 8 unvaccinated H5N1 R65 0 6.63 (1.06–41.5) 0 6.63 (1.06–41.47) 1.51 (0.15–14.85) ∞ (0.84<)
 9 t/T-P42 H5N1 t/T 0.732831 1.86 (0.296–11.662) 0.8 1.42 (0.226–8.93) 0 0 (<1.64)
 10 H5N1 t/T H5N1 t/T 0.755113 1.71 (0.272–10.756) 0.9 0.77 (0.121–4.863) 0 0 (<1.64)
 11 unvaccinated H5N1 t/T 0 6.63 (1.06–41.5) 0 6.63 (1.06–41.47) ∞ (0.84<)
group combinations
 5 and 10 homologous (low dose) 0.755113 1.71 (0.272–10.756) 0.32 (0.13–0.77) 1.47 (0.30–3.44)
 4,8,11 unvaccinated 0 6.63 (1.06–41.5) 4.60 (1.39–15.2) ∞ (1.99<)
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