Figure 4.

Predictive tools developed for the coral disease white syndromes (WS) in Australia's Great Barrier Reef. Statistical analyses were used to relate sea surface temperature patterns in the winter (seasonal forecast (a)) and summer (near real-time risk assessment (b,c)) to WS prevalence during outbreak and non-outbreak years [28,29]. These web-accessible tools are monitored by managers and scientists and used to target response efforts. Forecasting and near real-time monitoring of disease-promoting conditions can increase vigilance and support for surveillance efforts, resulting in earlier disease detection. (Online version in colour.)