. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2016 Feb 21.

Published in final edited form as: Stat Med. 2008 Nov 29;27(27):5786–5798. doi: 10.1002/sim.3380

Table IV.

Posterior means (and 95 per cent posterior intervals) for parameters in the change point model.

Parameter

Prior 1

Prior 2

Prior 3

Change point fixed

β₀

35.3 (32.5, 38.7)

32.3 (30.0, 34.7)

34.3 (31.3, 37.6)

34.0 (31.3, 36.2)

β₁

−0.81 (−0.89, −0.74)

−0.85 (−0.93, −0.77)

−0.82 (−0.89, −0.75)

β₂

−0.16 (−0.27, −0.06)

−0.14 (−0.25, −0.03)

−0.17 (−0.27, −0.07)

−0.13 (−0.22, −0.05)

β₃

6.4 (2.9, 9.4)

9.3 (6.9, 11.8)

7.8 (4.3, 11.0)

7.6 (5.2, 10.6)

σ_{0}^{2}

105 (75, 132)

111 (86, 138)

96 (64, 128)

110 (90, 133)

σ_{1}^{2}

0.037 (0.016, 0.069)

0.014 (0.003, 0.037)

0.012 (0.001, 0.043)

0.027 (0.001, 0.075)

σ_{2}^{2}

0.151 (0.087, 0.232)

0.160 (0.098, 0.239)

0.106 (0.049, 0.181)

0.090 (0.038, 0.166)

σ_{3}^{2}

14.2 (0.2, 49.1)

18.5 (2.6, 43.7)

42.6 (10.3, 79.7)

—

σ_{02}^{2}

−2.71 (−4.11, −1.45)

−3.04 (−4.40, −1.85)

−2.65 (−4.05, −1.42)

−2.27 (−3.48, −1.23)

σ_{e}^{02}

22.8 (20.5, 25.4)

23.0 (20.6, 25.6)

23.5 (21.1, 26.2)

24.1 (21.5, 26.9)