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Comparison of model goodness of fit using DIC.
| Model | DIC | pD | D̄ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linear | 8400.53 | 478.05 | 7922.48 |
| Quadratic | 8409.95 | 428.14 | 7981.80 |
| Change point 1 | 8326.95 | 467.55 | 7859.40 |
| Change point 2 | 8325.05 | 456.15 | 7868.90 |
| Change point 3 | 8303.04 | 401.86 | 7901.18 |
| Change point fixed | 8387.31 | 457.57 | 7929.73 |
