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. 2016 Feb 11;6(2):e010455. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2015-010455

Table 4.

Predictors of young adult alcohol use disorder: adolescent binge and heavy binge drinking

Measure Unadjusted model
Adjusted model*
OR (95% CI) p Value OR (95% CI) p Value
Binge drinking in adolescence
Drinking pattern <0.001† <0.001†
 None 1.5 (1.0 to 2.1) 1.3 (0.93 to 1.9)
 1 wave drinking 1 1
 2+ waves drinking 1.8 (1.3 to 2.6) 1.5 (1.1 to 2.1)
 1 wave binge drinking 2.2 (1.6 to 3.0) 1.7 (1.3 to 2.3)
 2+ waves binge drinking 3.2 (2.5 to 4.0) 2.0 (1.5 to 2.6)
Wave <0.001† <0.001†
 Wave 7 (mean age 20.7 years) 1 1
 Wave 8 (mean age 24.1 years) 1.1 (0.96 to 1.3) 1.1 (0.96 to 1.3)
 Wave 9 (mean age 29.1 years) 0.70 (0.57 to 0.85) 0.69 (0.56 to 0.85)
Gender
 Female 1 1
 Male 2.1 (1.7 to 2.5) <0.001 2.1 (1.7 to 2.6) <0.001
Heavy binge drinking in adolescence
Drinking pattern <0.001† <0.001†
 None 1.5 (1.1 to 2.0) 1.3 (0.96 to 1.8)
 1 wave drinking 1 1
 2+ waves drinking 2.2 (1.7 to 2.8) 1.7 (1.3 to 2.2)
 1 wave binge drinking 2.9 (2.1 to 4.0) 2.0 (1.4 to 2.8)
 2+ waves binge drinking 4.1 (2.9 to 5.8) 2.3 (1.6 to 3.4)
Wave <0.001† <0.001†
 Wave 7 (mean age 20.7 years) 1 1
 Wave 8 (mean age 24.1 years) 1.1 (0.96 to 1.3) 1.1 (0.96 to 1.3)
 Wave 9 (mean age 29.1 years) 0.69 (0.57 to 0.85) 0.69 (0.56 to 0.85)
Gender
 Female 1 1
 Male 2.2 (1.8 to 2.6) <0.001 2.2 (1.8 to 2.7) <0.001

*Adjusted for adolescent daily smoking, weekly+ cannabis use, depressive symptoms and antisocial behaviour, and parental daily drinking, daily smoking, divorce/separation and level of education.

†p Value from joint test of significance.