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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2016 Apr 12.
Published in final edited form as: Int J Drug Policy. 2015 Aug 22;30:91–98. doi: 10.1016/j.drugpo.2015.08.010

Table 1.

Pre-analysis organizing system for Kenya heroin shortage rapid assessment, 2010-2011.

Thematic foci Situational considerations Landscape
Settings Heroin market disruption: precipitating factors • High level policy speeches related to drug trafficking and profiting
• Community demonstrations against GoK inaction on arresting “drug barons” and impact in Mombasa
• Interdiction of heroin
• Arrests of low level drug dealers
Initiating events Heroin market disruption: consequences • Abrupt and sustained shortage of heroin
• Heroin cost increases
• Heroin quality decreases
Internal reactions Public health emergency • Heroin users experience acute opioid withdrawal
• No methadone available, no NSP and some chemists sell syringes
• Logistics of procuring and using drugs adversely impacted:
    • Traveling long distances in search of heroin
    • Using in different hotspots
    • Pooling of resources
Actions by heroin users to deal with the situation Disruption in drug users patterns: desperate and actions taken • Heroin users seek medical and drug treatment services
• Logistics of procuring and using drugs adversely impacted
• Shift from smoking to injection
Consequences of heroin users’ actions HIV risk behaviors • Syringe sharing
    • Sick, pooled resources must be divided, cannot access syringes
    • Flashblood
• Sex for drugs
Coda/return to the present Morbidity • Resurgence of supply leads to relapse and overdosing