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. 2016 Feb 22;11(2):e0149401. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0149401

Table 6. Comparison of the performances of the ARIMA model and ARIMAX model.

MAE MAPE RMSE U95-L95
ARIMA ARIMAX ARIMA ARIMAX ARIMA ARIMAX ARIMA ARIMAX
Modelling Performance Primary 0.0248 0.0109 0.05 0.022 0.0331 0.0134 0.1317 0.0552
Secondary 0.0146 0.0114 0.0464 0.0356 0.0199 0.0143 0.0791 0.0644
Tertiary 0.0013 0.0009 0.1115 0.0771 0.0016 0.0011 0.0063 0.0046
Latent 0.0469 0.0227 0.0621 0.0294 0.0601 0.0288 0.2389 0.113
Congenital 0.0032 0.0027 0.0592 0.0492 0.0041 0.0033 0.0163 0.0132
Testing Performance Primary 0.0754 0.0393 0.1172 0.0598 0.0775 0.0419 0.1476 0.0579
Secondary 0.0183 0.0201 0.0465 0.0504 0.0195 0.0216 0.0947 0.0782
Tertiary 0.001 0.0015 0.0534 0.0802 0.0012 0.039 0.0076 0.0046
Latent 0.1237 0.0795 0.0958 0.0561 0.1463 0.0861 0.2627 0.1815
Congenital 0.0137 0.0089 0.2054 0.1335 0.0149 0.0097 0.0181 0.0147