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. 2016 Feb 26;6:22121. doi: 10.1038/srep22121

Table 1. Median predicted proportion of cattle vaccinated during mass FMD vaccination in Turkey [with 95% PI in brackets], allowing for incomplete coverage of eligible cattle assessed six months after the last round of vaccination**.

Number of doses 0 1 2 ≥3 Total
Evaluated 25th Sept 2012 Months since last vaccination Unvaccinated 22% [21.9–22.2] 0% 0% 0% 22% [21.9–22.2%]
6 0% 10.4% [10.4–10.5] 13.1% [13.1–13.15] 39.4% [39.2–39.6] 62.9% [62.7–63.1]
12 0% 3.19% [3.18–3.2] 1.87% [1.8–1.9] 6.7% [6.6–6.8] 11.8% [11.6–11.9]
≥18 0% 0.77% [0.75–0.79] 0.7% [0.7–0.7] 1.85% [1.7–1.9] 3.3% [3.1–3.4]
Age [months] <6 13.1% [12.9–13.2] 0% 0% 0% 13.1% [12.9–13.2]
6 -<12 6.8% [6.7–6.9] 4.4% [4.3–4.5] 0% 0% 11.2% [11.1–11.4]
12 -<18 1.5% [1.4–1.6] 6.1% [6–6.3] 6.1% [6–6.2] 0% 13.7% [13.6–13.9]
18 -<24 0.5% [0.5–0.6] 2.8% [2.7–2.9] 6% [5.9–6.1] 3% [2.9–3.1] 12.3% [12.2–12.5]
≥24 0.1% [0.1–0.2] 1% [0.9–1.1] 3.5% [3.4–3.6] 44.9% [44.8–45] 49.6%*
Total 22% [21.9–22.2] 14.5% [14.4–14.6] 15.6% [15.5–15.7] 47.9% [47.8–48.1] 100%
If all eligible cattle always vaccinated 18.5% [18.4–18.6] 81.5% [81.4–81.6] 72.1% [72–72.2] 55.9% [55.7–56] Eligible that day 96.6% [96.596.65]
Evaluated 25th March 2013 Months since last vaccination Unvaccinated 20% [19.8–20.2] 0% 0% 0% 20% [19.8–20.2]
6 0% 14.4% [14.2–14.6] 10.3% [10.2–10.5] 41.3% [41.1–41.5] 66% [65.8–66.3]
12 0% 2.4% [2.3–2.4] 2.4% [2.3–2.4] 6.7% [6.5–6.7] 11.4% [11.2–11.6]
≥18 0% 0.7% [0.7–0.8] 0.4% [0.4–0.45] 1.4% [1.4–1.5] 2.6% [2.5–2.7]
Age [months] <6 11.2% [11–11.3] 0% 0% 0% 11.2% [11–11.3]
6 -<12 5.6% [5.5–5.7] 7.5% [7.4–7.7 0% 0% 13.2% [13–13.3]
12 -<18 1.8% [1.7–1.8] 6.6% [6.5–6.7] 3.8% [3.7–3.9] 0% 12.1% [12–12.3]
18 -<24 0.4% [0.4–0.5] 2.5% [2.5–2.6] 5.9% [5.8–6] 5% [4.9–5.1] 13.9% [13.8–14]
≥24 0.1% [0.1–0.2] 1.1% [1–1.1] 3.6% [3.5–3.7] 44.8% [44.7–44.9] 49.6*
Total 20% [19.8–20.2] 17.7% [17.5–17.9] 13.3% [13.2–13.5] 49.8% [49.7–50] 100%
If all eligible cattle always vaccinated 14.5% [14.4–14.6] 85.5% [85.4–85.6] 69.9% [69.8–70] 60% [59.8–60.1] Eligible that day 94.7% [94.694.8]

Autumn revaccination (25th September 2012) would vaccinate 74.5% [95% PI: 74.3–74.8%] of eligible cattle, spring revaccination (25th March 2013) would vaccinate 73.2% [95% PI: 73–73.4%] of eligible cattle. The median total does not necessarily equal the total of the subcategory medians. This, along with rounding, resulted in minor discrepancies with margin totals.

*Fixed sampling proportion used from census data.

**District level coverage was described by a Betapert distribution (minimum = 40%, maximum = 100%, most likely = 80%).

i.e. Assessed on day of autumn 2012 vaccination BEFORE vaccination performed.

i.e. Assessed on day of spring 2013 vaccination BEFORE vaccination performed.