Figure - PMC

Skip to main content

An official website of the United States government

Here's how you know

Here's how you know

Official websites use .gov
A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States.

Secure .gov websites use HTTPS
A lock ( ) or https:// means you've safely connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites.

View full-text article in PMC

. 2016 Feb 29;9:112. doi: 10.1186/s13071-016-1403-y

Search in PMC
Search in PubMed
View in NLM Catalog
Add to search

© Escobar et al. 2016

Open AccessThis article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated.

PMC Copyright notice

Fig. 4 — Evaluation of Chikungunya transmission model failure rates, as a function of time and associated amount of data available for model calibration. Models developed with data for August 2014, September 2014, October 2014, November 2014, December 2014, and January 2015 were compared against PAHO reports in February 2015 to assess model performance from six months to one month of anticipation respectively. Models improved in terms of fit between predicted and observed Chikungunya cases where more information was included in late models. For intervention purposes, under prediction of cases (red) was more undesirable than overprediction of cases (dark blue)