Table 5.

Posterior probabilities for the hypothesized eastern white pine evolutionary scenarios from the ABC analysis

Evolutionary scenario	Nuclear microsatellites		Chloroplast microsatellites
	Posterior probability of scenario	Confidence interval (95 %)	Posterior probability of scenario	Confidence interval (95 %)
Population divergence
Sc1	0.7145	[0.6226,0.8064]	0.6016	[0.5235,0.6696]
Sc2	0.1810	[0.1119,0.2502]	0.3938	[0.3257,0.4619]
Sc3	0.1045	[0.0472,0.1617]	0.0046	[0.0001,0.0484]
Population admixture
Sc4	0.6667	[0.5467,0.7867]	0.5952	[0.4923,0.6981]
Sc5	0.3333	[0.1736,0.5088]	0.4048	[0.2783,0.5289]
Best scenario
Sc1	0.5469	[0.4634,0.7145]	0.4172	[0.1818,0.3997]
Sc4	0.4531	[0.2242,0.4487]	0.5828	[0.4738,0.6840]

Scenarios with the highest posterior probability for each test are represented in bold. The group information is provided in Additional file 1: Table S1 and the illustrations of the hypothesized scenarios are provided in the Additional file 2: Figure S1