TABLE II -. Performance of risk models in patient subsets.
Data set | No. of Patients | Actual | AES | LES | EuroSCORE II | STS | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Predicted | ROC | H-L p value | Predicted | ROC | H-L p value | Predicted | ROC | H-L p value | Predicted | ROC | H-L p value | ||||||
AES = additive EuroSCORE; AVR = aortic valve replacement; CABG = coronary artery bypass grafting; DVR = double valve replacement; LES = logistic EuroSCORE; MVR = mitral valve replacement; ROC = receiver operating characteristic; STS = Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS). | |||||||||||||||||
All | 576 | 4.86 | 5.16 | 0.819 | 0.184 | 6.96 | 0.819 | 0.233 | 4.94 | 0.816 | 0.552 | 2.13 | 0.812 | 0.290 | |||
MVR | 247 | 2.83 | 4.40 | 0.881 | 0.335 | 5.46 | 0.877 | 0.495 | 3.12 | 0.898 | 0.689 | 1.87 | 0.882 | 0.319 | |||
AVR | 137 | 2.91 | 4.44 | 0.721 | 0.390 | 4.93 | 0.722 | 0.634 | 2.49 | 0.747 | 0.660 | 1.29 | 0.635 | 0.116 | |||
DVR | 86 | 2.32 | 3.98 | 0.619 | 0.431 | 4.09 | 0.699 | 0.371 | 2.76 | 0.637 | 0.346 | – | – | – | |||
CABG + MVR | 57 | 1.84 | 9.30 | 0.755 | 0.726 | 17.30 | 0.736 | 0.756 | 18.22 | 0.773 | 0.133 | 4.84 | 0.657 | 0.884 | |||
CABG + AVR | 49 | 1.88 | 8.26 | 0.587 | 0.156 | 13.12 | 0.581 | 0.102 | 9.36 | 0.521 | 0.118 | 2.64 | 0.775 | 0.480 |