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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2017 Feb 1.
Published in final edited form as: Curr HIV/AIDS Rep. 2016 Feb;13(1):64–75. doi: 10.1007/s11904-016-0303-2

Table 3.

Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis and Treatment as Prevention Strategies

Citation Model Type Strategy Results
$/Infection
Averted
$/QALY gained or
$/DALY averted1
Other
Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis
Evaluating the impact of
prioritization of antiretroviral
pre-exposure prophylaxis in
New York (United States) [42]
Monte Carlo
with
deterministic
compartmental
transmission
Compare
prioritization of
PrEP between high
risk heterosexuals,
high risk MSM, all
MSM, IDUs, and all
high risk
Ranges from $1.6
million to $54
million
Not reported
(2012 USD)
Diminishing returns
when PrEP is
expanded beyond high
risk MSM
Clinical effectiveness and cost-
effectiveness of HIV PrEP in
MSM: risk calculators for real-
world decision-making (United
States) [43]
Decision-
analytic based
on decision tree
framework
Estimate the number
needed to treat for
MSM in various
risk, adherence, and
behavioral scenarios
Not reported $160,000/QALY for
PrEP to all MSM in
the US
(2012 USD)
Number needed to treat
is 64
A cost-effectiveness analysis of
HIV PrEP for MSM in
Australia [44]
Stochastic
agent-based
Compare PrEP to all
MSM, high risk
MSM, and
serodiscordant MSM
to no PrEP
Not reported $8,400-11,575
(AUD) /QALY
gained to
serodiscordant MSM
($7,790-10,740
USD, 2013)
>$400,000
(AUD)/QALY gained
to all MSM
(>$371,000 USD)
Effectiveness and cost-
effectiveness of oral PrEP in a
portfolio of prevention
programs for IDUs in mixed
HIV epidemics (Ukraine) [45]
Dynamic
compartmental
Compare PrEP, ART
and/or methadone
maintenance therapy
(MMT) to no
intervention in IDUs
Not reported MMT: $520/QALY
gained
Adding PrEP: $1,700
(2008 USD)
PrEP becomes as cost-
effective as MMT if
priced less than $650
and cost-saving is
priced less than $370
HIV-serodiscordant couples
desiring a child: “treatment as
prevention,” preexposure
prophylaxis, or medically
assisted procreation? (France)
[46]
Markov
decision tree
Compare conception
strategies: PrEP,
TasP, medically
assisted procreation
Not reported PrEP limited to
fertile days: €1.13M
(~$1.5M) per life
year saved compared
to TasP and
intercourse limited to
fertile days
(2013 Euro or USD)
Medically assisted
procreation is €3.6M
(~$4M) per life year
saved compared to
limited PrEP
Cost-effectiveness of tenofovir
gel in urban South Africa:
model projections of HIV
impact and threshold product
prices [47]
Population-level
deterministic
compartmental
transmission
Linear scale-up of
tenofovir gel to 30%
uptake over 10
years; gel used in
72% of sex acts
Not reported ICER $297/DALY
averted
(2012 USD)
Reduce HIV incidence
by 12.5%
Comparative effectiveness and
cost-effectiveness of ART and
PrEP for HIV prevention in
South Africa [48]
Dynamic
compartmental
Compare ART scale-
up at different
initiation thresholds
and scale-up;
determine additional
cost of adding PrEP
Not reported Adding targeted
PrEP ranges from
$160-220/QALY
gained (2014 USD*)
Cost-effectiveness of PrEP
targeted to high-risk
serodiscordant couples as a
bridge to sustained ART use in
Kampala, Uganda [49]
Dynamic
transmission
Current ART
coverage vs. ART
scale-up for
CD4<500 vs.
PrEP+ART scale-up
ICER $1,340
(PrEP+ART)
ICER $5,354
(PrEP+ART) per
DALY averted
(2012 USD)
PrEP+ART averts 43%
of infections
Estimating the cost-
effectiveness of PrEP to reduce
HIV-1 and HSV-2 incidence in
HIV-serodiscordant couples in
South Africa [50]
Microsimulation PrEP to uninfected
partner prior to and
during 1st year of
ART initiation in
infected partner
Not reported $9,757-
10,383/DALY
averted (2015 USD*)
HSV-2 prevention has
little impact on cost-
effectiveness
Seasonal PrEP for partners of
migrant miners in southern
Mozambique: a highly focused
PrEP intervention [51]
Population-level
deterministic
transmission
6 weeks of targeted
PrEP each year for
partners of miners
timed when miners
return home from
South Africa
$71,374 for year-
long PrEP
$9,540 for 6 week
period
Not reported (2012
USD)
For cost/infection
averted to be <$3,000,
cost of PrEP would
need to decrease and
users would need good
adherence
Cost-effectiveness of PrEP in
HIV/AIDS control in Zambia:
a stochastic league approach
[53]
Deterministic,
Monte Carlo
Compare ART scale-
up, prioritized PrEP,
and general PrEP
Not reported ICER PrEP+ART:
$5,861/QALY
gained
(2012 USD)
PrEP would require a
10-fold increase in
budget
Treatment as Prevention
Cost-effectiveness of HIV
treatment as prevention in
serodiscordant couples (South
Africa, India) [57]
Deterministic,
individual-based
Markov
Compare early ART
initiation with
guideline-concordant
ART initiation
Not reported South Africa ICER
$590/LYS
India ICER
$530/LYS (2011
USD)
Results exclude costs
of case identification
and testing required to
indentify participants
with high CD4 counts
Comparative effectiveness and
cost-effectiveness of ART and
PrEP for HIV prevention in
South Africa [48]
Dynamic
compartmental
Compare ART scale-
up at different
initiation thresholds
and scale-up;
determine additional
cost of adding PrEP
Not reported ICER for ART scale-
up ranges from $310-
990/QALY gained
(2014 USD*)
Cost-effectiveness of PrEP
targeted to high-risk
serodiscordant couples as a
bridge to sustained ART use in
Kampala, Uganda [49]
Dynamic
transmission
Current ART
coverage vs. ART
scale-up for
CD4<500 vs.
PrEP+ART scale-up
ICER $1,452
(ART alone)
ICER $1,075 (ART
scale-up) per DALY
averted
(2012 USD)
ART scale-up averts
37% of infections
Cost-effectiveness of PrEP in
HIV/AIDS control in Zambia:
a stochastic league approach
[53]
Deterministic,
Monte Carlo
Compare ART scale-
up, prioritized PrEP,
and general PrEP
Not reported ICER ART scale-up:
$62/QALY gained
(2012 USD)

QALY: quality-adjusted life year; DALY: disability-adjusted life year; PrEP: pre-exposure prophylaxis; CAD: Canadian dollars; USD: United States dollars; AUD: Australian dollars; ART: antiretroviral therapy; MSM: men who have sex with men; IDU: injecting drug user; TasP: treatment as prevention; ICER: incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; YLS: year of life saved.

1

The asterisk (*) next to YEAR USD indicates year of article publication when year of USD is not reported in the article.