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. 2016 Feb 4;114(5):582–589. doi: 10.1038/bjc.2015.474

Table 3b. Sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, APV, TPV and RV of cytology for colposcopy outcomes (CIN3+) among women attending for a colposcopy within 12 months of their first invitation for screening.

Measure Vaccination N R Estimate (95% CI) P-value
Sensitivity high-grade dyskaryosis CIN3+ Unimmunised 351 288 82.05 (77.70, 85.71) 0.427
  Fully immunised 75 65 86.67 (77.17, 92.59)  
Specificity Neg/Border/LG CIN3+ Unimmunised 1271 770 60.58 (57.87, 63.23) 0.081
  Fully immunised 404 265 65.59 (60.83, 70.06)  
PPV of high-grade dyskaryosis for CIN3+ Unimmunised 789 288 36.50 (33.22, 39.92) 0.249
  Fully immunised 204 65 31.86 (25.85, 38.54)  
NPV Neg/Border/LG for CIN3+ Unimmunised 833 770 92.44 (90.44, 94.04) 0.033
  Fully immunised 275 265 96.36 (93.44, 98.01)  
APV of Bl/LG for CIN3+ Unimmunised 759 51 6.72 (5.15, 8.73) 0.049
  Fully immunised 256 8 3.13 (1.59, 6.04)  
TPV of all colp for CIN3+ Unimmunised 1622 351 21.64 (19.70, 23.71) 0.005
  Fully immunised 479 75 15.66 (12.68, 19.18)  
RV of all colp for CIN3+ Unimmunised 1622 351 4.62 (4.22, 5.08) 0.005
  Fully immunised 479 75 6.39 (5.21, 7.89)  

Abbrevaitions: APV=abnormal predictive value; CI=confidence interval; CIN=cervical intraepithelial neoplasia; colp=colposcopy; NPV=negative predictive value; PPV=positive predictive value; RV=referral value; TPV=total predictive value.