Table 3.
Age-specific Coronary Heart Disease (CHD) and Stroke mortality relative risks in Black and Hispanic Americans compared to White Americans in 2012 and 2030 using trend-based projections. Relative risks and 95% confidence intervals 3a. Women, 3b Men.
| 3a. | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHD | |||||||
| Black | 25–34 | 35–44 | 45–54 | 55–64 | 65–74 | 75–84 | 85+ | 
| 2012 | 1.72 (1.44–2.04) | 1.50 (1.38–1.62) | 1.27 (1.22–1.33) | 1.41 (1.37–1.45) | 1.38 (1.34–1.42) | 1.13 (1.09–1.16) | 0.79 (0.76–0.82) | 
| 2030 | 0.85 (0.18–1.84) | 2.48 (0.76–4.59) | 2.17 (0.30–5.08) | 1.69 (0.31–4.02) | 0.26 (0.11–0.60) | 0.93 (0.23–2.72) | 0.61 (0.28–1.14) | 
| Hispanic | |||||||
| 2012 | 0.46 (0.36–0.59) | 0.44 (0.39–0.49) | 0.50 (0.47–0.53) | 0.68 (0.66–0.71) | 0.79 (0.76–0.83) | 0.79 (0.77–0.82) | 0.71 (0.68–0.74) | 
| 2030 | 0.26 (0.03–0.81) | 0.25 (0.10–0.35) | 0.80 (0.15–2.09) | 0.62 (0.06–2.28) | 0.29 (0.06–0.68) | 0.55 (0.29–0.94) | 0.86 (0.41–1.35) | 
| Stroke | |||||||
| Black | 25–34 | 35–44 | 45–54 | 55–64 | 65–74 | 75–84 | 85+ | 
| 2012 | 2.14 (1.61–2.85) | 2.82 (2.42–3.28) | 3.19 (2.94–3.47) | 2.74 (2.58–2.91) | 2.18 (2.06–2.30) | 1.46 (1.38–1.53) | 0.95 (0.89–1.01) | 
| 2030 | 1.79 (0.82–3.24) | 1.27 (0.59–1.96) | 2.27 (0.91–3.98) | 1.61 (0.81–3.5) | 1.09 (0.74–1.57) | 1.35 (0.55–2.58) | 1.14 (0.43–2.02) | 
| Hispanic | |||||||
| 2012 | 1.07 (0.79–1.45) | 1.32 (1.11–1.56) | 1.25 (1.12–1.39) | 1.17 (1.07–1.27) | 0.97 (0.90–1.05) | 0.91 (0.86–0.98) | 0.76 (0.71–0.82) | 
| 2030 | 0.84 (0.40–1.33) | 1.02 (0.43–2.41) | 0.95 (0.18–1.58) | 0.67 (0.11–2.21) | 0.65 (0.12–2.01) | 1.37 (0.22–4.47) | 1.07 (0.23–2.25) | 
| 3b. | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHD | |||||||
| Black | 25–34 | 35–44 | 45–54 | 55–64 | 65–74 | 75–84 | 85+ | 
| 2012 | 1.84 (1.39–2.44) | 1.36 (1.19–1.56) | 1.72 (1.61–1.83) | 1.85 (1.77–1.93) | 1.63 (1.57–1.69) | 1.24 (1.21–1.28) | 0.95 (0.93–0.98) | 
| 2030 | 1.65 (0.39–4.43) | 1.41 (0.39–3.20) | 1.23 (0.67–2.12) | 1.47 (0.76–2.73) | 2.34 (0.78–4.80) | 2.54 (0.95–4.83) | 1.31 (0.31–2.38) | 
| Hispanic | |||||||
| 2012 | 0.37 (0.23–0.59) | 0.33 (0.26–0.41) | 0.48 (0.43–0.63) | 0.74 (0.69–0.79) | 0.79 (0.75–0.83) | 0.87 (0.84–0.91) | 0.82 (0.80–0.85) | 
| 2030 | 0.42 (0.27–0.64) | 0.24 (0.14–0.39) | 0.43 (0.31–0.54) | 0.60 (0.25–1.21) | 0.79 (0.36–1.36) | 0.74 (0.29–1.30) | 0.67 (0.28–1.17) | 
| Stroke | |||||||
| Black | 25–34 | 35–44 | 45–54 | 55–64 | 65–74 | 75–84 | 85+ | 
| 2012 | 1.66 (1.20–2.30) | 2.30 (1.94–2.72) | 2.82 (2.58–3.08) | 2.56 (2.39–2.74) | 1.83 (1.73–1.94) | 1.23 (1.17–1.28) | 0.93 (0.90–0.97) | 
| 2030 | 2.17 (0.85–3.72) | 2.78 (1.21–4.27) | 2.74 (1.09–5.67) | 1.00 (0.85–1.24) | 1.39 (0.75–2.11) | 1.49 (0.48–2.86) | 1.50 (0.63–3.32) | 
| Hispanic | |||||||
| 2012 | 0.91 (0.64–1.31) | 0.79 (0.63–0.98) | 0.96 (0.84–1.10) | 1.01 (0.91–1.13) | 0.95 (0.88–1.04) | 0.81 (0.77–0.86) | 0.70 (0.67–0.74) | 
| 2030 | 1.32 (0.32–3.43) | 1.27 (0.39–2.98) | 1.00 (0.25–2.63) | 1.18 (0.43–2.21) | 0.41 (0.17–0.65) | 0.99 (0.46–1.56) | 0.86 (0.37–1.41) |