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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2017 Mar 8.
Published in final edited form as: Circulation. 2016 Feb 4;133(10):967–978. doi: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.019904

Table 3.

Age-specific Coronary Heart Disease (CHD) and Stroke mortality relative risks in Black and Hispanic Americans compared to White Americans in 2012 and 2030 using trend-based projections. Relative risks and 95% confidence intervals 3a. Women, 3b Men.

3a.
CHD
Black 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–64 65–74 75–84 85+
2012 1.72 (1.44–2.04) 1.50 (1.38–1.62) 1.27 (1.22–1.33) 1.41 (1.37–1.45) 1.38 (1.34–1.42) 1.13 (1.09–1.16) 0.79 (0.76–0.82)
2030 0.85 (0.18–1.84) 2.48 (0.76–4.59) 2.17 (0.30–5.08) 1.69 (0.31–4.02) 0.26 (0.11–0.60) 0.93 (0.23–2.72) 0.61 (0.28–1.14)
Hispanic
2012 0.46 (0.36–0.59) 0.44 (0.39–0.49) 0.50 (0.47–0.53) 0.68 (0.66–0.71) 0.79 (0.76–0.83) 0.79 (0.77–0.82) 0.71 (0.68–0.74)
2030 0.26 (0.03–0.81) 0.25 (0.10–0.35) 0.80 (0.15–2.09) 0.62 (0.06–2.28) 0.29 (0.06–0.68) 0.55 (0.29–0.94) 0.86 (0.41–1.35)
Stroke
Black 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–64 65–74 75–84 85+
2012 2.14 (1.61–2.85) 2.82 (2.42–3.28) 3.19 (2.94–3.47) 2.74 (2.58–2.91) 2.18 (2.06–2.30) 1.46 (1.38–1.53) 0.95 (0.89–1.01)
2030 1.79 (0.82–3.24) 1.27 (0.59–1.96) 2.27 (0.91–3.98) 1.61 (0.81–3.5) 1.09 (0.74–1.57) 1.35 (0.55–2.58) 1.14 (0.43–2.02)
Hispanic
2012 1.07 (0.79–1.45) 1.32 (1.11–1.56) 1.25 (1.12–1.39) 1.17 (1.07–1.27) 0.97 (0.90–1.05) 0.91 (0.86–0.98) 0.76 (0.71–0.82)
2030 0.84 (0.40–1.33) 1.02 (0.43–2.41) 0.95 (0.18–1.58) 0.67 (0.11–2.21) 0.65 (0.12–2.01) 1.37 (0.22–4.47) 1.07 (0.23–2.25)
3b.
CHD
Black 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–64 65–74 75–84 85+
2012 1.84 (1.39–2.44) 1.36 (1.19–1.56) 1.72 (1.61–1.83) 1.85 (1.77–1.93) 1.63 (1.57–1.69) 1.24 (1.21–1.28) 0.95 (0.93–0.98)
2030 1.65 (0.39–4.43) 1.41 (0.39–3.20) 1.23 (0.67–2.12) 1.47 (0.76–2.73) 2.34 (0.78–4.80) 2.54 (0.95–4.83) 1.31 (0.31–2.38)
Hispanic
2012 0.37 (0.23–0.59) 0.33 (0.26–0.41) 0.48 (0.43–0.63) 0.74 (0.69–0.79) 0.79 (0.75–0.83) 0.87 (0.84–0.91) 0.82 (0.80–0.85)
2030 0.42 (0.27–0.64) 0.24 (0.14–0.39) 0.43 (0.31–0.54) 0.60 (0.25–1.21) 0.79 (0.36–1.36) 0.74 (0.29–1.30) 0.67 (0.28–1.17)
Stroke
Black 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–64 65–74 75–84 85+
2012 1.66 (1.20–2.30) 2.30 (1.94–2.72) 2.82 (2.58–3.08) 2.56 (2.39–2.74) 1.83 (1.73–1.94) 1.23 (1.17–1.28) 0.93 (0.90–0.97)
2030 2.17 (0.85–3.72) 2.78 (1.21–4.27) 2.74 (1.09–5.67) 1.00 (0.85–1.24) 1.39 (0.75–2.11) 1.49 (0.48–2.86) 1.50 (0.63–3.32)
Hispanic
2012 0.91 (0.64–1.31) 0.79 (0.63–0.98) 0.96 (0.84–1.10) 1.01 (0.91–1.13) 0.95 (0.88–1.04) 0.81 (0.77–0.86) 0.70 (0.67–0.74)
2030 1.32 (0.32–3.43) 1.27 (0.39–2.98) 1.00 (0.25–2.63) 1.18 (0.43–2.21) 0.41 (0.17–0.65) 0.99 (0.46–1.56) 0.86 (0.37–1.41)