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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2016 Oct 1.
Published in final edited form as: Lancet Glob Health. 2015 Jul 15;3(10):e639–e645. doi: 10.1016/S2214-109X(15)00093-5

Table 1.

Altered risk of zinc deficiency ± CI under elevated [CO2] (550 p.p.m.) scenario, calculated regionally.

VARIABLE High-
income
Southern
and
Tropical L.
America
Central and
Andean L.
America
and Carib.
Central and
Eastern
Europe
Central
Asia, North
Africa and
Middle
East
Sub-
Saharan
Africa
South Asia India East and
Southeast
Asia and
Pacific
China Global
Number of Countries 30 5 27 20 28 48 5 1 21 3 188
Population (millions) 937.2 249.4 301.4 330.1 481.4 757.8 355.0 1140.5 606.8 1337.7 6497.5
Energy (kcal/day) 3423.9 3031.4 2835.7 3285.8 3089.2 2350.5 2233.7 2295.2 2585.2 2905.0 2776.2
Zinc (mg/d) 12.8 (12.7, 12.9) 11.9 (11.8, 12.0) 10.3 (10.2, 10.4) 11.2 (11.1, 11.3) 13.1 (13.0, 13.2) 8.0 (7.9, 8.1) 9.0 (8.9, 9.1) 9.3 (9.1, 9.5) 8.6 (8.5, 8.7) 13.2 (13.0, 13.4) 10.9 (10.8, 11.1)
Phytate (mg/d) 1162.2 (1158.8, 1165.6) 1162.0 (1157.4, 1166.6) 1881.7 (1880.1, 1883.3) 1183.0 (1176.1, 1189.9) 2702.7 (2680.3, 2725.1) 1777.3 (1776.3, 1778.3) 1981.2 (1953.4, 2009.0) 2286.4 (2248.5, 2324.3) 1436.0 (1434.6, 1437.4) 1440.0 (1427.0, 1453.0) 1707.3 (1699.8, 1714.8)
Absorbable zinc (mg/d) 3.27 (3.26, 3.28) 3.17 (3.16, 3.18) 2.47 (2.45, 2.49) 3.04 (3.03, 3.05) 2.48 (2.47, 2.49) 2.10 (2.09, 2.11) 2.18 (2.17, 2.19) 2.11 (2.09, 2.13) 2.41 (2.40, 2.42) 3.12 (3.10, 3.14) 2.65 (2.64, 2.66)
% mean physiological requirement 158.6 (158.3, 158.9) 162.2 (161.5, 162.9) 129.9 (129.0, 130.8) 146.2 (145.7, 146.8) 129.4 (129.1, 129.7) 118.9 (118.1, 119.8) 118.2 (117.6, 118.8) 110.3 (109.2, 111.4) 124.4 (123.7, 125.1) 153.2 (152.4, 154.0) 135 (134.7, 135.3)
Estimated % of pop. with inadequate zinc intake 8.1(8.0, 8.2) 6.9 (6.7, 7.1) 19 (18.4, 19.6) 10.6 (10.4, 10.8) 19.6 (19.4, 19.8) 29.5 (28.6, 30.4) 27.3 (26.6, 28.0) 35.4 (34.0, 36.8) 24.6 (23.8. 25.4) 8.4 (8.2, 8.6) 19.5 (19.2, 19.8)
Absolute % increase in population with inadequate zinc intake 0.6 (0.5, 0.7) 0.5 (0.3, 0.6) 2.0 (1.4, 2.6) 1.0 (.8, 1.2) 2.5 (2.3, 2.7) 3.9 (3.0, 4.8) 2.9 (2.2, 3.6) 4.2 (2.8, 5.6) 2.4 (1.6, 3.2) 0.6 (0.4, 0.8) 2.1 (1.8, 2.3)
Relative % increase in population with inadequate zinc intake 6.9 (6.0, 7.8) 6.5 (4.1, 8.9) 11.1 (7.8, 14.4) 10.2 (8.2, 12.2) 14.6 (13.2, 16.0) 14.9 (11.6, 18.2) 12.2 (9.8, 14.6) 13.4 (9.0, 17.8) 10.4 (7.8, 13.0) 7.3 (4.6, 10.0) 10.6 (9.5, 11.7)
Population newly at risk of inadequate zinc intake (millions) 5.4 (4.5, 6.2) 1.1 (0.7, 1.6) 5.9 (4.2, 7.7) 3.3 (2.8, 3.9) 12.2 (11.1, 13.2) 29.7 (22.6, 36.8) 10.4 (8.0, 12.8) 47.8 (32.1, 63.5) 14.8 (10.1, 19.5) 7.8 (5.1, 10.5) 138.4 (120.0, 156.8)

Data are presented first for high-income countries, and then by region with China and India broken out separately because of their population size. Data are weighted by national population sizes and are for 188 countries. Regional classifications are based on the reporting regions of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors 2010 Study, and are grouped according to geographical location and dietary patterns. Absorbable zinc is mathematically related to dietary phytate and zinc according to the Miller equation.