Fig. 2.

Projected contributions to 21st century sea level rise for thermal expansion (A), mountain glaciers (B), Greenland solid ice discharge (C) and surface mass balance (D), and Antarctic solid ice discharge (E) and surface mass balance (F). Median (thick line) and fifth to 95th percentile uncertainty range (shading) of projected single contributions for the three RCP scenarios; based on 10,000 individual sea level curves. Bars at the right show fifth to 95th percentile range of this study (M16) and the IPCC AR5 (3) likely ranges intersected by the median for the 2081–2100 time mean. All are relative to the 1986–2005 mean. The y axis scale varies between panels.