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. 2016 Mar 15;352:i1030. doi: 10.1136/bmj.i1030

Table 3.

Risk of non-affective psychoses in refugees relative to non-refugees, by region of origin

Category All Men
Crude incidence rate (95% CI) per 100 000 PYAR Hazard ratio (95% CI): model 2 Crude incidence rate (95% CI) per 100 000 PYAR Hazard ratio (95% CI): model 2
Swedish-born 38.5 (37.2 to 39.9) - 41.2 (39.4 to 43.2) -
Eastern Europe:
Non-refugees 59.7 (47.9 to 74.3) 1 62.5 (45.9 to 85.2) 1
Refugees 106.9 (51.0 to 224.3) 1.76 (0.81 to 3.82) 184.1 (82.7 to 409.8) 2.88 (1.22 to 6.82)
Asia:
Non-refugees 62.5 (49.1 to 79.5) 1 67.0 (48.3 to 92.9) 1
Refugees 116.0 (69.9 to 192.4) 1.78 (1.01 to 3.14) 146.1 (83.0 to 257.3) 2.20 (1.13 to 4.25)
Middle East and north Africa:
Non-refugees 70.9 (59.4 to 84.6) 1 94.4 (75.9 to 117.4) 1
Refugees 112.8 (82.7 to 153.8) 1.56 (1.08 to 2.23) 143.5 (100.3 to 205.2) 1.55 (1.01 to 2.36)
Sub-Saharan Africa:
Non-refugees 186.7 (155.0 to 224.9) 1 269.0 (215.1 to 336.3) 1
Refugees 166.0 (116.8 to 236.1) 0.81 (0.54 to 1.23) 207.1 (130.5 to 328.8) 0.68 (0.40 to 1.16)

Estimates from model 1 and model 2 were similar; only data from model 2, adjusted for age at risk, sex, their interaction (for both sexes combined), disposable income, and population density, are reported. Likelihood ratio test χ2 (df=3) and P values, for statistical interaction between refugee status and region of origin were 8.0 and 0.05 for full sample and 12.0 and 0.007 in analysis restricted to men. Given small number of refugee women with outcome (n=27), no attempt was made to inspect risk by region of origin separately for women.

PYAR=person years at-risk.