Table 2.
Model selection rankings for the top 10 models examining the effect of El Niño phase, represented by the SOI, on wire-tailed manakin survival and recruitment probability at Tiputini Biodiversity Station, Ecuador from 2003 to 2013. (Model structure includes notations for male status (F, floater; T, territorial) and age (SCB = 2nd year, DCB = 3+ years).)
| model |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ϕ | ρ | ψ | Ka | deviance | ΔAICc | wib |
| F[.] × T [SOI] | F[yr] T[.] | SCB[yr] + DCB[yr] | 24 | 676.69 | 0.00 | 0.324 |
| F[SOI] × T [SOI] | F[yr] T[.] | SCB[yr] + DCB[yr] | 25 | 674.58 | 0.02 | 0.322 |
| F[.] × T [.] | F[yr] T[.] | SCB[yr] + DCB[yr] | 23 | 681.42 | 2.60 | 0.088 |
| F[SOI] × T [.] | F[yr] T[.] | SCB[yr] + DCB[yr] | 24 | 679.31 | 2.62 | 0.087 |
| F[SOI] × T [SOI] | F[yr] T[.] | SCB[yr] × DCB[yr] | 34 | 658.62 | 3.43 | 0.059 |
| F[.] × T [.] | F[yr] T[.] | SCB[yr] × DCB[yr] | 31 | 665.50 | 3.80 | 0.049 |
| F[SOI] + T [SOI] | F[yr] T[.] | SCB[yr] + DCB[yr] | 24 | 680.80 | 4.11 | 0.042 |
| F[SOI] + T [SOI] | F[yr] T[.] | SCB[yr] × DCB[yr] | 32 | 664.90 | 5.36 | 0.022 |
| F[SOI] × T [SOI] | F[yr] T[.] | SCB[SOI] + DCB[SOI] | 18 | 698.84 | 9.50 | 0.003 |
| F[SOI] × T [SOI] | F[yr] T[.] | SCB [SOI] × DCB[SOI] | 19 | 697.94 | 10.70 | 0.002 |
aNumber of identifiable parameters.
bModel weight.