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. 2016 Feb 22;113(11):E1434–E1441. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1517056113

Fig. 2.

Fig. 2.

(A) Mean estimated rate of change (millimeters per year) over 0–1700 CE under prior ML2,1. In shaded areas, conditioning on the observations reduces the variance by at least 10% relative to the prior. (B−F) Mean estimated rates of change (mm/y) from (B) 0–700 CE, (C) 700–1400 CE, (D) 1400–1800 CE, (E) 1800–1900 CE, and (F) 1900–2000 CE, after removing the 0–1700 CE trend. Areas where a rise and a fall are about equally likely (P= 0.33–0.67) are crosshatched. The color scales are centered around the noted rate of GSL change.