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. 2008 Jan 30;17(Suppl):S14–S22. doi: 10.2188/jea.17.S14

Table 1. Critical values for determining onset and end of epidemic.

Disease Critical value for epidemic

onset end
Influenza 30.0 10.0
Pharyngoconjunctival fever 2.0 0.1
Group A streptococcal pharyngitis 4.0 2.0
Infectious gastroenteritis 20.0 12.0
Chickenpox 7.0 4.0
Hand-foot-mouth disease 5.0 2.0
Erythema infectiosum 2.0 1.0
Pertussis 1.0 0.1
Rubella 1.0 0.1
Herpangina 6.0 2.0
Measles 1.5 0.5
Mumps 6.0 2.0

Numbers in table indicate no. of cases per week per sentinel clinic and hospital.