Table VI.
Optimal threshold, sensitivity, specificity, areas under the curve, and 95% confidence interval of the five scoring systems for prognostic evaluation of patients with ACLF.
| Prediction models | Optimal threshold | Sensitivity (%) | Specificity(%) | Area under the curve | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Child-Pugh | 12.6 | 0.625 | 0.811 | 0.760 | (0.650, 0.871) |
| MELD | 26.1 | 0.750 | 0.952 | 0.890 | (0.819, 0.961) |
| MELD-Na | 27.3 | 0.875 | 0.952 | 0.940 | (0.868, 1.000) |
| MESO | 18.2 | 0.858 | 0.906 | 0.907 | (0.839, 0.973) |
| iMELD | 48.3 | 0.750 | 0.952 | 0.860 | (0.770, 0.949) |
ACLF, acute-on-chronic liver failure; MELD, model for end-stage liver disease; MELD-Na, MELD with incorporation of sodium; MESO, MELD and serum sodium ratio; iMELD, integrated MELD; CI, confidence interval.