Osmolytes specifically affect the first step in folding. (a) Representative refolding trace (force-clamp at 5 pN) fit to the Bayesian HMM. The graph shows the extension data with states assigned according to the Bayesian HMM: the unfolded state is shown in blue, the intermediate in green, and the native in red. The width of the shaded bars under the data represents the mean ± 1 SD, which in this case is: μU ± σU = 25.3 ± 2.0 nm, μI ± σI = 10.9 ± 3.8 nm, and μN ± σN = 0.0 ± 1.4 nm. On the right is the probability distribution of the states in this refolding transition. (b) Fits of each rate in the folding transition as determined by the BHMM for buffer (black), sorbitol (red), and TMAO (orange). The rates showing significant change are the kI-U and kU-I rates denoted by ∗p < 0.05. To see this figure in color, go online.