Table 3.
Results of wright updated DES method for hepatitis patient_ Mid=1, Lab Test = T-BIL, Year= 1981
| Patient (MID) | Observation d Date | Interval (days) | Value Ytn | Level Mt | Trend Gt | Forecast Ft | % Error | MSE | MADt | MAPEt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ------ | ----- | 0.8239 | -0.0008 | ----- | ||||||
| 1 | 19/02/1981 | 1 | 0.7 | 0.7984 | -0.0107 | 0.8230 | 17.5779 | 0.0151 | 0.1230 | 17.5779 |
| 1 | 26/03/1981 | 35 | 0.7 | 0.6994 | -0.0028 | 0.7877 | 12.5355 | 0.0114 | 0.1054 | 15.0567 |
| 1 | 23/04/1981 | 28 | 0.7 | 0.6998 | 0.0000 | 0.6966 | 0.4838 | 0.0076 | 0.0714 | 10.1990 |
| 1 | 28/05/1981 | 35 | 0.8 | 0.8000 | 0.0029 | 0.6999 | 12.5175 | 0.0082 | 0.0786 | 10.7787 |
| 1 | 02/07/1981 | 35 | 0.7 | 0.7001 | -0.0029 | 0.8028 | 14.6886 | 0.0087 | 0.0834 | 11.5606 |
| 1 | 29/07/1981 | 27 | 0.6 | 0.6001 | -0.0037 | 0.6972 | 16.2046 | 0.0088 | 0.0857 | 12.3346 |
| 1 | 02/09/1981 | 35 | 0.8 | 0.7999 | 0.0057 | 0.5964 | 25.4561 | 0.0135 | 0.1026 | 14.2091 |
| 1 | 30/09/1981 | 28 | 0.7 | 0.7005 | -0.0035 | 0.8056 | 15.0821 | 0.0132 | 0.1029 | 14.3183 |
| 1 | 14/10/1981 | 14 | 0.7 | 0.6979 | -0.0002 | 0.6970 | 0.4353 | 0.0117 | 0.0918 | 12.7757 |
| 1 | 28/10/1981 | 14 | 0.9 | 0.8910 | 0.0138 | 0.6977 | 22.4736 | 0.0146 | 0.1029 | 13.7455 |
| 1 | 11/11/1981 | 14 | 1.1 | 1.0993 | 0.0149 | 0.9048 | 17.7459 | 0.0168 | 0.1113 | 14.1092 |
| 1 | 02/12/1981 | 21 | 1.2 | 1.2020 | 0.0049 | 1.1142 | 7.1525 | 0.0160 | 0.1092 | 13.5294 |
| 1 | 23/12/1981 | 21 | 1.1 | 1.1019 | -0.0048 | 1.2069 | 9.7195 | 0.0156 | 0.1090 | 13.2364 |