. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2016 Apr 1.

Published in final edited form as: Ann Appl Stat. 2016 Mar 25;10(1):395–417. doi: 10.1214/15-aoas898

Table 2.

Posterior mean estimates and 95% credible intervals for parameters of each model fitted to the Rosie hospital outbreak data.

Parameter	Transmission diversity (95% CrI)	Importation structure (95% CrI)
Probability of importation, p	0.012 (0.007, 0.019)	0.017 (0.009, 0.024)
Test sensitivity, z	0.72 (0.65, 0.79)	0.70 (0.64, 0.77)
Transmission rate β × 10^–5	89.9 (38.8, 158.2)	80.6 (30.1, 153.7)
Within host/group diversity γ	0.20 (0.18, 0.23)	0.22 (0.19,0.25)
Between host/group diversity, γ_G	0.17 (0.18, 0.23)	1.6 (1.4, 1.9) × 10^–4
Chain diversity factor, k	1.2 (0.71, 1.82)	—