Table 3.
Model Results
| Current situation | 5 dB reduction scenario estimate | Difference (current – reduction scenario) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model 1: Coronary Heart Disease | |||
| N people exposed ≥ 55 dBA LDN | 145.5 million | 0 | −145.5 million |
| N affected individuals | 15.4 million | 15.1 million | − 279,000 |
| Population risk | 4.89% | 4.80% | − 0.09 % points |
| Annual cost, direct | $96 billion | $94.3 billion | − $1.7 billion |
| Annual cost, indirect | $81.1 billion | $79.6 billion | − $1.5 billion |
| Model 2: Hypertension | |||
| N people exposed ≥ 55 dBA LDN | 145.5 million | 0 | −145.5 million |
| N affected individuals | 77.9 million | 76.7 million | − 1.2 million |
| Population risk | 24.7% | 24.3% | − 0.4 % points |
| Annual cost, direct | $47.5 billion | $46.8 billion | − $684 million |
| Annual cost, indirect | $3.5 billion | $3.4 billion | − $50 million |
Note: Data sources and assumptions for “Current situation” explained in Table 2.