Table 1.
Parameter estimates for the best-fit model before (top) and after (bottom) the best-fit transition point weeks
| Location | Week of parameter change (since June 9) | βI | βW | θ | ω | IG(0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberia | 15 (September 20) | 0.235 (0.221, 0.256) | 0.042 (0.026, 0.085) | 0.377 (0.199, 0.499) | 0.090 | 17 |
| 0.128 (0.072, 0.156) | 0.004 (0.000, 0.009) | 0.450 (0.363, 0.522) | – | – | ||
| Montserrado | 15 (September 20) | 0.331 (0.307, 0.702) | 0.044 (0.026, 0.588) | 0.836 (0.053, 1.000) | – | 1 |
| 0.157 (0.072, 0.189) | 0.003 (0.000, 0.008) | 0.914 (0.500, 1.000) | – | – | ||
| Bong | 16 (September 27) | 0.205 (0.184, 0.241) | – | 0.003 (0.000, 0.325) | – | 7 |
| 0.118 (0.081, 0.147) | 0.000 | 0.321 (0.158, 1.000) | – | – | ||
| Grand Cape Mount | 26 (December 4) | 0.202 (0.189, 0.335) | – | 0.000 | – | 1 |
| 0.057 (0.000, 0.176) | – | 0.000 | – | – | ||
| Margibi | 17 (October 4) | 0.241 (0.212, 1.021) | – | 0.000 | – | 1 |
| 0.048 (0.008, 0.103) | 0.030 (0.000,0.182) | 0.065 (0.007, 0.088) | – | – | ||
| Grand Bassa | 15 (September 20) | 0.272 (0.180, 0.646) | – | 0.000 | – | 2 |
| 0.111 (0.106, 0.136) | 0.030 (0.030, 0.036) | 0.083 (0.059, 0.085) | – | – | ||
| Lofa | 13 (September 6) | 0.206 (0.166, 0.219) | 0.015 (0.015, 0.017) | 0.504 (0.481, 0.520) | – | 16 |
| 0.043 (0.000, 0.071) | 0.018 (0.000, 0.021) | 0.234 (0.000, 0.292) | – | – |