Table 2. Cumulative incidence of type 2 diabetes in metabolic health and body mass index categories.
| BMI category | BMI category cumulative incidence at 5 yearsa | BMI category cumulative incidence at 10 years a | Risk category | Proportion of healthy or unhealthy individuals in each BMI category | Relative risk within BMI category | Risk category 5 year cumulative incidence (95% CI*) | Risk category 10 year cumulative incidence (95% CI*) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lean | 0.3 % | 0.8 % |
Metabolically
Healthy Lean |
0.82 | 1 | 0.2% (0.1 – 0.2%) | 0.5% (0.5 – 0.6%) |
|
Metabolically
Unhealthy Lean |
0.18 | 4.0 | 0.6% (0.6 – 0.8%) | 2.2% (1.9 – 2.5%) | |||
| Over weight | 0.8 % | 2.7 % |
Metabolically
Healthy Overweight |
0.59 | 1 | 0.4% (0.3 – 0.5%) | 1.3% (1.1 – 1.6%) |
|
Metabolically
Unhealthy Overweight |
0.41 | 3.4 | 1.4% (1.3 – 1.5%) | 4.5% (4.2 – 4.9%) | |||
| Obese | 1.8 % | 5.9 % |
Metabolically
Healthy Obese |
0.38 | 1 | 1.0% (0.8 – 1.1%) | 3.1% (2.6 – 3.5%) |
|
Metabolically
Unhealthy Obese |
0.62 | 2.5 | 2.4% (2.2 – 2.5%) | 7.6% (7.3 – 8.0%) |
BMI, body mass index; CI, confidence interval.
a
From the EPIC InterAct Study
*
derived via a probabilistic analysis, which simultaneously incorporates the uncertainty in each of the parameter estimate (openBUGS, 20000 simulations)