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Performance results for predicting donor return after observing the first donation only. Reported numbers are based on a Logistic Regression model on the full dataset (25.4% donor return probability) through 10-fold crossvalidation.
| Model | ROC AUC |
|---|---|
| Random Baseline | 0.50 |
| Time (t) | 0.53 |
| Project (P) | 0.54 |
| Donor (D) | 0.72 |
| Teacher (T) | 0.55 |
| t + P | 0.56 |
| t + P + D | 0.73 |
| t + P + D + T | 0.74 |
