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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2017 May 1.
Published in final edited form as: Metabolism. 2016 Jan 12;65(5):794–803. doi: 10.1016/j.metabol.2016.01.004

Table 2.

Health outcomes in the Women’s Health Initiative hormone therapy trials, according to age at study entry, during the intervention phasea

Estrogen-progestin trial Estrogen-alone trial
E+P Placebo E alone Placebo
Outcome # events per 10,000 PY # events per 10,000 PY Differenceb per 10,000 PY RR (95% CI) p # events per 10,000 PY # events per 10,000 PY Differenceb per 10,000 PY RR (95% CI) p
Cardiovascular disease
Coronary heart diseasec
 50–59 y 23 17 5 1.34 (0.82 – 2.19) 0.81 17 28 −11 0.60 (0.35 – 1.04) 0.08
 60–69 y 37 37 0 1.01 (0.73 – 1.39) 61 63 −3 0.95 (0.72 – 1.24)
 70–79 y 82 63 19 1.31 (0.93 – 1.84) 97 90 7 1.09 (0.80 – 1.49)
Myocardial infarction
 50–59 y 19 15 4 1.32 (0.77 – 2.25) 0.55 14 25 −11 0.55 (0.31 – 1.00) 0.02
 60–69 y 33 31 2 1.05 (0.74 – 1.47) 46 48 −2 0.95 (0.69 – 1.30)
 70–79 y 69 47 21 1.46 (1.00 – 2.15) 83 69 14 1.24 (0.88 – 1.75)
Coronary revascularizationd
 50–59 y 20 20 0 1.03 (0.63 – 1.68) 0.67 24 41 −17 0.56 (0.35 – 0.88) 0.06
 60–69 y 43 52 −9 0.85 (0.64 – 1.13) 79 69 11 1.13 (0.88 – 1.46)
 70–79 y 75 70 +5 1.08 (0.77 – 1.51) 107 102 5 1.07 (0.79 – 1.43)
Stroke
 50–59 y 15 10 5 1.51 (0.81 – 2.82) 0.50 16 17 −1 0.99 (0.53 – 1.85) 0.77
 60–69 y 34 23 11 1.45 (1.00 – 2.11) 51 33 18 1.55 (1.10 – 2.16)
 70–79 y 63 50 13 1.22 (0.84 – 1.79) 77 59 17 1.29 (0.90 – 1.86)
Pulmonary embolism
 50–59 y 11 5 6 2.05 (0.89 – 4.71) 0.61 10 6 3 1.53 (0.63 – 3.75) 0.28
 60–69 y 19 11 8 1.69 (1.01 – 2.85) 17 10 7 1.72 (0.94 – 3.14)
 70–79 y 30 12 18 2.54 (1.27 – 5.09) 14 16 −2 0.85 (0.39 – 1.84)
All cardiovascular eventse
 50–59 y 82 67 14 1.19 (0.92 – 1.53) 0.92 108 123 −16 0.84 (0.66–1.06) 0.06
 60–69 y 176 161 15 1.10 (0.94 – 1.28) 280 236 44 1.18 (1.03 – 1.36)
 70–79 y 321 280 41 1.14 (0.96 – 1.35) 410 350 60 1.17 (0.99 – 1.37)
Cancer
Breast cancer
 50–59 y 33 27 6 1.21 (0.81 – 1.80) 0.68 24 29 −5 0.82 (0.50 – 1.34) 0.89
 60–69 y 45 38 8 1.20 (0.89 – 1.62) 28 39 −10 0.73 (0.51 – 1.07)
 70–79 y 56 41 15 1.37 (0.90 – 2.07) 32 27 −5 0.86 (0.52 – 1.43)
Colorectal cancer
 50–59 y 4 5 −1 0.79 (0.29 – 2.18) 0.66 7 10 −3 0.71 (0.30 – 1.67) 0.02
 60–69 y 13 21 −8 0.61 (0.37 – 0.99) 16 19 −2 0.88 (0.53 – 1.47)
 70–79 y 16 28 −11 0.58 (0.31 – 1.08) 33 15 19 2.24 (1.16 – 4.30)
All cancerf
 50–59 y 83 84 −1 0.97 (0.76 – 1.23) 0.77 71 79 −8 0.89 (0.66 – 1.19) 0.39
 60–69 y 142 128 15 1.11 (0.93 – 1.31) 114 129 −15 0.89 (0.73 – 1.08)
 70–79 y 171 182 −11 0.94 (0.75 – 1.17) 152 147 6 1.04 (0.81 – 1.33)
Other outcomes
All fracture
 50–59 y 120 145 −25 0.82 (0.68 – 1.00) 0.83 133 149 −16 0.90 (0.72 – 1.11) 0.33
 60–69 y 160 226 −66 0.70 (0.61 – 0.81) 139 218 −80 0.63 (0.53 – 0.75)
 70–79 y 236 300 −65 0.79 (0.66 – 0.95) 208 297 −90 0.71 (0.58 – 0.87)
Diabetes
 50–59 y 74 85 −11 0.85 (0.66 – 1.09) 0.10 131 158 −26 0.83 (0.67 – 1.04) 0.99
 60–69 y 61 99 −38 0.61 (0.49 – 0.77) 144 159 −15 0.91 (0.76 – 1.09)
 70–79 y 95 70 +24 1.35 (0.98 – 1.88) 119 114 −27 0.82 (0.62 – 1.07)
Total mortality
 50–59 y 21 31 −10 0.67 (0.43 – 1.04) 0.20 29 40 −11 0.70 (0.46 – 1.09) 0.04
 60–69 y 51 47 5 1.07 (0.81 – 1.41) 78 77 0 1.01 (0.79 – 1.29)
 70–79 y 106 102 3 1.03 (0.87 – 1.36) 155 129 26 1.21 (0.95 – 1.56)
Global indexg
 50–59 y 103 91 12 1.12 (0.89 – 1.40) >0.99 98 117 −19 0.84 (0.66 – 1.07) 0.02
 60–69 y 189 167 22 1.13 (0.97 – 1.31) 210 211 −1 0.99 (0.85 – 1.15)
 70–79 y 342 303 38 1.12 (0.95 – 1.32) 367 316 51 1.17 (0.99 – 1.39)
a

Median length of randomized treatment was 5.6 years for estrogen-progestin and 7.2 years for estrogen alone.

b

Difference = # events per 10,000 women per year in the hormone therapy group - # events per 10,000 women per year in the placebo group. Numbers may not add precisely due to rounding error.

c

Coronary heart disease is defined as nonfatal myocardial infarction or coronary death.

d

Coronary revascularization is defined as coronary artery bypass grafting or percutaneous coronary intervention.

e

All cardiovascular events is a composite outcome of MI, stroke, coronary revascularization, angina, heart failure, carotid artery disease, peripheral vascular disease, venous thromboembolism (pulmonary embolism, deep vein thrombosis), and cardiovascular death.

f

All cancer types except for non-melanoma skin cancer.

g

Global index=a composite outcome of coronary heart disease, stroke, pulmonary embolism, breast cancer, colorectal cancer, endometrial cancer (in the estrogen-progestin trial), hip fracture, and mortality.

Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; PY, person-years; RR, relative risk. Data from: Manson JE, et al. JAMA 2013;310:1353–68.