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. 2016 Apr 15;6(4):e010580. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2015-010580

Table 1.

Probability parameters used in the analysis

Probability parameters Distribution Parameters
LNG-IUS
LNG-IUS to asymptomatic on LNG-IUS β (3,2)
LNG-IUS to symptomatic on LNG-IUS β (3,2)
Remain asymptomatic on LNG-IUS Fixed 1
Remain asymptomatic off treatment Fixed 1
Remain symptomatic on LNG-IUS (<12 months) Fixed 1
Remain symptomatic on LNG-IUS (>12 months) Dirichlet 8
Symptomatic with LNG-IUS to symptomatic off treatment 20
Symptomatic with LNG-IUS to change treatment (hormonal) 16
Symptomatic with LNG-IUS to hysterectomy 4
Symptomatic with LNG-IUS to conservative surgery 2
Remain symptomatic off treatment (<6 months) Fixed 1
Remain symptomatic off treatment (>6 months) Dirichlet 6
Symptomatic off treatment to asymptomatic off treatment 2
Symptomatic off treatment to change treatment (hormonal) 10
Change treatment (hormonal) to asymptomatic on 2nd treatment β (3,2)
Change treatment (hormonal) to symptomatic on 2nd treatment β (3,2)
Remain asymptomatic on 2nd treatment (<6 months) 1 Fixed
Remain asymptomatic on 2nd treatment (>6 months) β (3,2)
Asymptomatic on 2nd treatment to asymptomatic off treatment β (3,2)
Remain symptomatic on 2nd treatment (<6 months) Fixed 1
Remain symptomatic on 2nd treatment (>6 months) Dirichlet 6
Symptomatic on 2nd treatment to 2nd conservative surgery 10
Symptomatic on 2nd treatment to hysterectomy 2
2nd conservative surgery to symptomatic post-conservative surgery β (3,2)
2nd conservative surgery to asymptomatic post-conservative surgery β (3,2)
Remain symptomatic post-conservative surgery Fixed 1
Remain asymptomatic post-conservative surgery Fixed 1
Hysterectomy to symptomatic post-hysterectomy β (3,2)
Hysterectomy to asymptomatic post-hysterectomy β (3,2)
Remain symptomatic post-hysterectomy Fixed 1
Remain asymptomatic post-hysterectomy Fixed 1

The same principle applies to the transitions for other treatments.

LNG-IUS, levonorgestrel-releasing intrauterine device.