TABLE 1.
Sex/Cancer Site or Type | Joinpoint Analyses (1992–2012)b
|
|||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trend 1
|
Trend 2
|
Trend 3
|
Trend 4
|
AAPCc
|
||||||
Years | APCd | Years | APCd | Years | APCd | Years | APCd | 2003–2012 | 2008–2012 | |
All sitese | ||||||||||
Both sexes | 1992–1994 | −3.1f | 1994–1998 | 0.4 | 1998–2009 | −0.4f | 2009–2012 | −2.3f | −1.0g | −1.8g |
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–1994 | −3.1f | 1994–1998 | 0.4 | 1998–2009 | −0.3f | 2009–2012 | −1.5f | −0.7g | −1.2g |
Men | 1992–1994 | −5.7f | 1994–2009 | −0.5f | 2009–2012 | −4.1f | −1.7g | −3.2g | ||
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–1994 | −5.8f | 1994–2009 | −0.5f | 2009–2012 | −3.1f | −1.4g | −2.5g | ||
Women | 1992–1998 | 0.7f | 1998–2012 | −0.3f | −0.3g | −0.3g | ||||
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–1998 | 0.8f | 1998–2003 | −0.6 | 2003–2012 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||
Children (ages 0–14 years) | 1992–2012 | 0.7f | 0.7g | 0.7g | ||||||
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–2012 | 0.8f | 0.8g | 0.8g | ||||||
Children (ages 0–19 years) | 1992–2012 | 0.7f | 0.7g | 0.7g | ||||||
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–2012 | 0.8f | 0.8g | 0.8g | ||||||
Top 17 cancers among menh | ||||||||||
Prostate | 1992–1995 | −11.1f | 1995–2000 | 2.1 | 2000–2010 | −2.0f | 2010–2012 | −12.4f | −4.4g | −7.3g |
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–1995 | −11.1f | 1995–2000 | 2.1 | 2000–2010 | −1.8f | 2010–2012 | −11.2f | −4.0g | −6.6g |
Lung and bronchus | 1992–2009 | −1.9f | 2009–2012 | −4.2f | −2.7g | −3.6g | ||||
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–2009 | −1.9f | 2009–2012 | −3.3f | −2.4g | −3.0g | ||||
Colon and rectum | 1992–1995 | −2.6f | 1995–1998 | 1.4 | 1998–2008 | −2.5f | 2008–2012 | −4.0f | −3.2g | −4.0g |
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–1995 | −2.6f | 1995–1998 | 1.4 | 1998–2008 | −2.5f | 2008–2012 | −3.6f | −3.0g | −3.6g |
Urinary bladder | 1992–2007 | 0.1 | 2007–2012 | −1.7f | −0.9g | −1.7g | ||||
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–2007 | 0.1 | 2007–2012 | −1.2f | −0.6g | −1.2g | ||||
Melanoma of the skin | 1992–2008 | 2.6f | 2008–2012 | −0.4 | 1.2g | −0.4 | ||||
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–1996 | 5.0f | 1996–2012 | 2.0f | 2.0g | 2.0g | ||||
Non-Hodgkin lymphoma | 1992–1995 | 2.8 | 1995–1998 | −2.1 | 1998–2010 | 0.6f | 2010–2012 | −4.1 | −0.5 | −1.8 |
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–1995 | 2.8 | 1995–1998 | −2.2 | 1998–2010 | 0.7f | 2010–2012 | −2.8 | −0.1 | −1.1 |
Kidney and renal pelvis | 1992–2004 | 1.9f | 2004–2008 | 4.4f | 2008–2012 | −1.4 | 1.5g | −1.4 | ||
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–1999 | 1.1f | 1999–2008 | 3.2f | 2008–2012 | −0.1 | 1.7g | −0.1 | ||
Oral cavity and pharynx | 1992–2001 | −1.8f | 2001–2012 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | ||||
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–2003 | −1.5f | 2003–2012 | 0.8f | 0.8g | 0.8g | ||||
Leukemia | 1992–2012 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | ||||||
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–2006 | 0.2 | 2006–2012 | 1.8f | 1.3g | 1.8g | ||||
Pancreas | 1992–2003 | 0.0 | 2003–2006 | 2.9 | 2006–2012 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0.1 | ||
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–2001 | 0.0 | 2001–2012 | 1.2f | 1.2g | 1.2g | ||||
Liver and intrahepatic bile duct | 1992–1999 | 4.6f | 1999–2002 | 0.5 | 2002–2007 | 5.4f | 2007–2012 | 1.8f | 3.4g | 1.8g |
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–2012 | 3.7f | 3.7g | 3.7g | ||||||
Stomach | 1992–2012 | −1.7f | −1.7g | −1.7g | ||||||
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–2012 | −1.7f | −1.7g | −1.7g | ||||||
Esophagus | 1992–2012 | −0.2 | −0.2 | −0.2 | ||||||
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–2012 | −0.2 | −0.2 | −0.2 | ||||||
Brain and other nervous system | 1992–2012 | −0.3f | −0.3g | −0.3g | ||||||
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–2012 | −0.2f | −0.2g | −0.2g | ||||||
Myeloma | 1992–2012 | 0.7f | 0.7g | 0.7g | ||||||
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–2006 | 0.4 | 2006–2012 | 3.0f | 2.1g | 3.0g | ||||
Thyroid | 1992–1995 | −3.0 | 1995–2012 | 5.2f | 5.2g | 5.2g | ||||
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–1995 | −3.2 | 1995–2012 | 5.3f | 5.3g | 5.3g | ||||
Larynx | 1992–2003 | −3.1f | 2003–2012 | −1.9f | −1.9g | −1.9g | ||||
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–2003 | −3.2f | 2003–2012 | −1.7f | −1.7g | −1.7g | ||||
Top 18 cancers among womenh | ||||||||||
Breast | 1992–1999 | 1.3f | 1999–2004 | −2.2f | 2004–2012 | 0.2 | −0.1 | 0.2 | ||
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–1999 | 1.3f | 1999–2004 | −2.2f | 2004–2012 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | ||
Lung and bronchus | 1992–2007 | 0.0 | 2007–2012 | −2.4f | −1.3g | −2.4g | ||||
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–2007 | 0.0 | 2007–2012 | −1.9f | −1.1g | −1.9g | ||||
Colon and rectum | 1992–1995 | −1.8f | 1995–1998 | 1.8 | 1998–2008 | −2.0f | 2008–2012 | −4.1f | −2.9g | −4.1g |
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–1995 | −1.8f | 1995–1998 | 1.8 | 1998–2008 | −2.0f | 2008–2012 | −3.8f | −2.8g | −3.8g |
Corpus and uterus, NOS | 1992–1997 | 0.8 | 1997–2004 | −0.8 | 2004–2012 | 1.8f | 1.5g | 1.8g | ||
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–2006 | −0.1 | 2006–2012 | 2.3f | 1.5g | 2.3g | ||||
Thyroid | 1992–1999 | 4.1f | 1999–2009 | 6.9f | 2009–2012 | 1.4 | 5.0g | 2.7g | ||
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–1999 | 4.1f | 1999–2009 | 6.9f | 2009–2012 | 1.8 | 5.2g | 3.0g | ||
Non-Hodgkin lymphoma | 1992–2004 | 1.3f | 2004–2012 | −0.8f | −0.5 | −0.8g | ||||
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–2004 | 1.3f | 2004–2012 | −0.4 | −0.2 | −0.4 | ||||
Melanoma of the skin | 1992–1997 | 4.0f | 1997–2010 | 1.6f | 2010–2012 | −3.1 | 0.5 | −0.8 | ||
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–2005 | 2.4f | 2005–2012 | 0.5 | 0.9g | 0.5 | ||||
Ovarye | 1992–2012 | −1.0f | −1.0g | −1.0g | ||||||
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–2012 | −0.9f | −0.9g | −0.9g | ||||||
Kidney and renal pelvis | 1992–1998 | 1.2 | 1998–2008 | 3.1f | 2008–2012 | −1.3 | 1.2g | −1.3 | ||
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–2000 | 1.6f | 2000–2007 | 3.6f | 2007–2012 | −0.1 | 1.5g | −0.1 | ||
Pancreas | 1992–2012 | 0.7f | 0.7g | 0.7g | ||||||
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–1999 | −0.1 | 1999–2012 | 1.1f | 1.1g | 1.1g | ||||
Leukemia | 1992–2012 | 0.3f | 0.3g | 0.3g | ||||||
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–2012 | 0.7f | 0.7g | 0.7g | ||||||
Urinary bladder | 1992–2004 | −0.2 | 2004–2012 | −1.2f | −1.1g | −1.2g | ||||
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–2004 | −0.2 | 2004–2012 | −1.1f | −1.0g | −1.1g | ||||
Cervix uteri | 1992–2012 | −2.4f | −2.4g | −2.4g | ||||||
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–2012 | −2.4f | −2.4g | −2.4g | ||||||
Oral cavity and pharynx | 1992–2012 | −0.7f | −0.7g | −0.7g | ||||||
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–2005 | −1.1f | 2005–2012 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 | ||||
Brain and other nervous system | 1992–2012 | −0.2 | −0.2 | −0.2 | ||||||
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–2012 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||
Myeloma | 1992–2012 | 0.4f | 0.4g | 0.4g | ||||||
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–2012 | 0.7f | 0.7g | 0.7g | ||||||
Stomach | 1992–2012 | −0.7f | −0.7g | −0.7g | ||||||
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–2012 | −0.6f | −0.6g | −0.6g | ||||||
Liver and intrahepatic bile duct | 1992–1996 | 6.9f | 1996–2012 | 2.4f | 2.4g | 2.4g | ||||
(Delay-adjusted) | 1992–2012 | 3.0f | 3.0g | 3.0g |
Abbreviations: AAPC, average annual percent change; APC, annual percent change; NOS, not otherwise specified.
Source: Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-13 areas covering about 14% of the US population (Connecticut, Hawaii, Iowa, Utah, and New Mexico; the Alaska Native Tumor Registry; rural Georgia; and the metropolitan areas of San Francisco, Los Angeles, San Jose-Monterey, Detroit, Atlanta, and Seattle-Puget Sound).
Joinpoint analyses with up to 3 joinpoints yielding up to 4 trend segments (Trends 1–4) were based on rates per 100,000 persons and were age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: ages <1 year, 1–4 years, 5–9 years, …, 80–84 years, and ≥85 years; Census publication p25-1130 [US Bureau of the Census, Current Population Reports, p25-1130. Washington, DC: US Government Printing Office; 2000]). For joinpoint analysis, the Joinpoint Regression Program was used (version 4.2.0.0, April 2015; Statistical Research and Applications Branch, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD).
The AAPC is a weighted average of the APCs calculated by joinpoint regression.
The APC is based on rates that were age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups; Census publication p25-1130).
All sites exclude myelodysplastic syndromes and borderline tumors; ovary excludes borderline tumors.
The APC is statistically significantly different from zero (2-sided t test; P < .05).
The AAPC is statistically significantly different from zero (2-sided Z test; P < .05).
Cancers are listed in descending rank order of sex-specific, age-adjusted incidence rates for 2008 through 2012 for all racial and ethnic groups combined (using data from the National Program of Cancer Registries [NPCR] and SEER Program areas reported by the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries [NAACCR] as meeting high-quality incidence data standards for 2008–2012). More than 15 cancers may appear under men and women to include the top 15 cancers in each racial and ethnic group.