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. 2015 May 26;48(2):775–788. doi: 10.4143/crt.2014.369

Table 4.

Participants’ predicted 5-year survival rates compared with actual rates

Sex Site Predicted rate by participants
Actual survival rate (%)a) No. (%)
Median (IQR) Mean±SD Underestimation Accurate estimation Overestimation
Men Total 50 (30-67) 48.4±21.8 57.6 556 (56.1) 170 (17.2) 265 (26.7)
Stomach 50 (30-70) 48.2±20.7 70.1 742 (74.9) 148 (14.9) 101 (10.2)
Lung 30 (20-50) 35.9±20.8 18.3 159 (16.0) 185 (18. 7) 647 (65.3)
Liver 35 (20-50) 37.4±20.4 28.5 311 (31.4) 182 (18.4) 498 (50.3)
Colon, rectum 40 (20-50) 39.7±21.1 75.8 930 (93.8) 47 (4.7) 14 (1.4)
Prostate 50 (30-70) 52.0±23.1 92.0 918 (92.6) 70 (7.1) 3 (0.3)
Women Total 50 (30-70) 49.8±22.2 75.2 883 (87.5) 107 (10.6) 19 (1.9)
Stomach 50 (30-70) 49.9±20.4 67.9 731 (72.5) 155 (15.4) 123 (12.2)
Lung 30 (20-50) 36.5±21.5 26.8 368 (36.5) 148 (14.7) 493 (48.9)
Liver 40 (20-50) 37.6±21.0 28.7 319 (31.6) 174 (17.2) 516 (51.1)
Colon, rectum 40 (20-60) 40.5±21.8 70.7 861 (85.3) 82 (8.1) 66 (6.5)
Breast 60 (40-70) 56.6±21.8 91.3 934 (92.6) 64 (6.3) 11 (1.1)
Uterine cervix 60 (40-70) 56.3±22.0 80.1 777 (77.0) 149 (14.8) 83 (8.2)
Thyroid 70 (50-80) 65.5±23.1 99.9 935 (92.7) 38 (3.8) 36 (3.6)

IQR, interquartile range; SD, standard deviation.

a)

5-year survival rate for each cancer based on population-based cancer registry in South Korea between 2007-2011.