Figure 3. Relationship of within- and between-group transmission rates on outcome.

(A) Heat maps of the proportion of simulations (N = 50) where infectious individuals continue to transmit after 2.5years. (B) The mean number of total cases in simulations where total cases were >10 (i.e., arbitrary criterion for an “outbreak”). Each column of plots are results for either the FMDV-like or CSFV-like viruses (labeled on top). Each plot shows results form a particular between-group contact structure (labeled in white in the plot). Heat map response values were averages across all sets of parameters in the sensitivity analysis. Table 1 gives the ranges of variable and fixed parameters. Network properties were mean degree 3 and global transitivity 0.76. Parameters were as in Table 1.