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. 2016 Apr 7;183(9):775–784. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwv317

Table 2.

Effect of Earned Income Tax Credit Payment Size on Child Development, National Longitudinal Survey of Youth, 1986–2000

Variable BPIa
HOMEa
2-Year Difference
4-Year Difference
2-Year Difference
4-Year Difference
No. β 95% CI No. β 95% CI No. β 95% CI No. β 95% CI
Base modelsb  
 EITC amount per $1,000c −0.57 −1.14, −0.0034 −0.29 −1.22, 0.62 0.083 −0.57, 0.74 0.59 −0.26, 1.44
 Married 0.31 −1.06, 1.68 −0.28 −2.32, 1.75 −3.42 −4.60, −2.23 −5.53 −7.09, −3.97
  No. of hours worked 0.0001 −0.0007, 0.0005 −0.0003 −0.0011, 0.0004 0.0004 −0.0001, 0.0010 0.0007 0.00, 0.0013
 No. of dependent children −0.49 −1.36, 0.38 −0.83 −2.11, 0.45 1.35 0.66, 2.05 2.17 1.07, 3.27
 Pretax household income per $1,000c,d 0.0007 −0.025, 0.026 0.0018 −0.038, 0.042 −0.0057 −0.025, 0.014 −0.0092 −0.038, 0.020
 Constant 2.50 0.12, 4.89 3.17 −0.23, 6.57 −1.75 −3.54, 0.047 −3.01 −5.71, −0.32
 No. of child-years 14,043 10,062 20,609 15,808
 No. of children 6,261 5,383 7,645 6,498
Models including state-level covariatesb  
 EITC amount per $1,000c −0.34 −0.80, 0.13 −0.25 −0.97, 0.46 −0.033 −0.60, 0.53 0.052 −0.65, 0.75
 Married 0.41 −0.97, 1.79 −0.31 −2.36, 1.72 −3.48 −4.69, −2.26 −5.59 −7.12, −4.05
 No. of hours worked 0.00 −0.0006, 0.0006 −0.0003 −0.0011, 0.0005 0.0004 −0.0001, 0.0010 0.0007 0.00, 0.0014
 No. of dependent children −0.48 −1.40, 0.43 −0.80 −2.09, 0.49 1.35 0.62, 2.07 2.10 1.00, 3.19
 Pretax household income per $1,000c,d 0.0018 −0.023, 0.027 0.0027 −0.036, 0.041 −0.0021 −0.022, 0.018 −0.0077 −0.037, 0.022
 State unemployment 0.075 −0.40, 0.55 0.34 −0.38, 1.06 −0.021 −0.041, 0.36 0.24 −0.30, 0.79
 State personal income per $1,000c −0.077 −0.44, 0.29 −0.35 −0.91, 0.20 −0.082 −0.40, 0.24 0.25 −0.17, 0.67
 Constant 3.73 −6.65, 14.10 8.99 −6.50, 24.49 0.35 −8.65, 9.34 −10.66 −22.79, 1.46
 No. of child-years 14,006 10,059 20,582 15,471
 No. of children 6,222 5,346 7,588 6,479

Abbreviations: BPI, Behavioral Problems Index; CI, confidence interval; EITC, Earned Income Tax Credit; HOME, Home Observation Measurement of the Environment.

a Higher values on the HOME inventory and lower BPI values denote a better outcome.

b Analyses involve multivariate linear regression with fixed effects (i.e., dummy variables) for each child and year; time-invariant characteristics were therefore not included in these models. Standard errors were clustered at the household level. We utilized multiple imputation using chained equations to impute missing data.

c Values for income, EITC payment size, and state income were inflation-adjusted to year 2000 dollars.

d Coefficients for household income squared and cubed were zero and therefore omitted from this Table for display purposes only.