eTable 2. Sensitivity and specificity of red flags (6).
Sensitivity | Specificity | |
---|---|---|
Malignancy | ||
Age ≥ 50 years History of cancer Unintentional weight loss No relief after 4 weeks of treatment |
0.77 0.31 0.15 0.31 |
0.71 0.98 0.94 0.90 |
No relief with bed rest Persistence for more than one month Age ≥ 50 years or history of cancer or unintentional weight loss or no relief after one month of treatment |
> 0.90 0.50 1.00 |
0.46 0.81 0.60 |
Spinal osteomyelitis | ||
Intravenous drug abuse, urinary tract infection, or skin infection | 0.40 | – |
Compression fracture | ||
Age ≥ 50 years Age ≥ 70 years |
0.84 0.22 |
0.61 0.96 |
Trauma | 0.30 | 0.85 |
Corticosteroid use | 0.06 | 0.99 |
Ankylosing spondylitis | ||
Age ≤ 35 years Morning stiffness |
0.90 0.64–0.95 |
0.30 0.29–0.59 |
No improvement of pain in the supine position Improvement of pain and stiffness on movement |
0.80 0.69–0.75 |
0.49 0.45–0.90 |
Insidious onset | 0.53–0.88 | 0.51–0.76 |
Duration of symptoms >3 months Four of the above five signs positive |
0.71–0.86 0.95 |
0.09–0.54 0.85 |
Disc herniation | ||
Sciatica (assumed prevalence* 5%) | 0.95 | 0.88 |
Cauda equina syndrome | ||
Urinary retention Saddle anesthesia |
0.90 0.75 |
– – |
Sphincter dysfunction | 0.60–0.80 | – |
*artifact