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. 2016 Apr 1;113(13):223–234. doi: 10.3238/arztebl.2016.0223

eTable 2. Sensitivity and specificity of red flags (6).

Sensitivity Specificity
Malignancy
Age ≥ 50 years
History of cancer
Unintentional weight loss
No relief after 4 weeks of treatment
0.77
0.31
0.15
0.31
0.71
0.98
0.94
0.90
No relief with bed rest
Persistence for more than one month
Age ≥ 50 years or history of cancer or unintentional weight loss or no relief after one month of treatment
> 0.90
0.50
1.00
0.46
0.81
0.60
Spinal osteomyelitis
Intravenous drug abuse, urinary tract infection, or skin infection 0.40
Compression fracture
Age ≥ 50 years
Age ≥ 70 years
0.84
0.22
0.61
0.96
Trauma 0.30 0.85
Corticosteroid use 0.06 0.99
Ankylosing spondylitis
Age ≤ 35 years
Morning stiffness
0.90
0.64–0.95
0.30
0.29–0.59
No improvement of pain in the supine position
Improvement of pain and stiffness on movement
0.80
0.69–0.75
0.49
0.45–0.90
Insidious onset 0.53–0.88 0.51–0.76
Duration of symptoms >3 months
Four of the above five signs positive
0.71–0.86
0.95
0.09–0.54
0.85
Disc herniation
Sciatica (assumed prevalence* 5%) 0.95 0.88
Cauda equina syndrome
Urinary retention
Saddle anesthesia
0.90
0.75

Sphincter dysfunction 0.60–0.80

*artifact