Table 2.
Illustrative comparative risks (95%CI) |
|||
Assumed risk | Corresponding risk | ||
Placebo | Calcium | ||
Recurrence of adenomas (follow-up: 3 to 5 yr) | 462 per 1000 | 411 per 1000 | Relative effect (95%CI): RR = 0.89 (0.82-0.96) |
(379 to 444) | No. of patients with follow-up evaluation: 2984 | ||
No. of RCTs: 4 | |||
Quality of evidence (GRADE): ++++ (high) | |||
Advanced adenomas (follow-up: 3 to 5 yr) | 113 per 1000 | 104 per 1000 | Relative effect (95%CI): RR = 0.92 (0.75-1.13) |
(85 to 128) | No. of patients with follow-up evaluation: 2998 | ||
No. of RCTs: 4 | |||
Quality of evidence (GRADE): +++- (moderate) |
(1) the basis for calculating the assumed risk is the overall event rate across the trial groups receiving placebo; (2) the corresponding risk (calcium group) is based on the assumed risk and the relative effect estimate (risk ratio); (3) the relative effect estimate and its 95%CI come from a Mantel-Haenszel fixed-effects meta-analytic model; and (4) the overall quality of evidence is judged as “high” for recurrence of adenomas, and “moderate” for advanced adenomas. A high quality of evidence means that “we are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect”, while a moderate quality of evidence means that “we are moderately confident in the effect estimate. The true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different”[58]. Population: Patients with colorectal adenomas removed before enrollment. Intervention: Calcium supplementation (1200-2000 mg/d) to prevent recurrence of adenomas. Comparison: Placebo. RR: Risk ratio; GRADE; Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation; RCTs: Randomized controlled trials.