Table 2.
Results of multinomial logit models predicting international migration for work and other reasons for Mexican men, 2005–2010
| Model 1
|
Model 2
|
Model 3
|
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For Work | For Other | For Work | For Other | For Work | For Other | |
| Age (baseline 15 to 24 years) | ||||||
| 25 to 34 years | 0.326** (0.112) | 0.422* (0.213) | 0.354** (0.113) | 0.416 (0.215) | 0.381** (0.112) | 0.414 (0.216) |
| 35 to 44 years | −0.149 (0.125) | 0.387 (0.323) | −0.147 (0.126) | 0.383 (0.326) | −0.096 (0.126) | 0.379 (0.336) |
| 45 to 55 years | −0.643** (0.145) | 0.315 (0.346) | −0.656** (0.146) | 0.287 (0.348) | −0.594** (0.146) | 0.281 (0.361) |
| Education (baseline less than primary) | ||||||
| Complete primary | 0.118 (0.122) | −0.020 (0.391) | 0.155 (0.122) | 0.004 (0.390) | 0.161 (0.123) | 0.003 (0.390) |
| Complete middle school | −0.030 (0.125) | 0.133 (0.354) | 0.057 (0.126) | 0.190 (0.357) | 0.068 (0.127) | 0.189 (0.359) |
| Complete high school or technical degree | −0.331* (0.138) | 0.546 (0.340) | −0.230 (0.141) | 0.601 (0.348) | −0.210 (0.141) | 0.600 (0.345) |
| Complete college or more | −0.474** (0.178) | 0.436 (0.352) | −0.319 (0.176) | 0.569 (0.357) | −0.296 (0.177) | 0.566 (0.357) |
| Marital Status (baseline single) | ||||||
| Married | −0.029 (0.105) | −1.323** (0.275) | 0.025 (0.107) | −1.270** (0.278) | 0.049 (0.109) | −1.272** (0.289) |
| Cohabiting | 0.142 (0.140) | −1.180** (0.307) | 0.152 (0.141) | −1.160** (0.309) | 0.166 (0.142) | −1.162** (0.31) |
| Separated, divorced, or widowed | −0.122 (0.230) | −0.997* (0.471) | −0.095 (0.231) | −0.970* (0.474) | −0.088 (0.232) | −0.971* (0.474) |
| Born out of State | 0.216* (0.098) | 0.298 (0.209) | 0.233* (0.098) | 0.287 (0.214) | 0.234* (0.098) | 0.287 (0.214) |
| Employment (baseline not economically active) | ||||||
| Employed | 0.313** (0.118) | −0.706** (0.209) | ||||
| Employed informal sector | 0.493** (0.119) | −0.495* (0.241) | ||||
| Employed informal: Self-employed | 0.301* (0.153) | −0.476 (0.368) | ||||
| Employed informal: Other | 0.549** (0.117) | −0.503* (0.240) | ||||
| Employed formal sector | −0.097 (0.137) | −1.053** (0.239) | −0.141 (0.141) | −1.049** (0.245) | ||
| Unemployed | 1.058** (0.155) | −0.204 (0.358) | 1.038** (0.156) | −0.215 (0.358) | 1.019** (0.157) | −0.214 (0.364) |
| Household Variables | ||||||
| Number of household members | 0.126** (0.025) | 0.158** (0.054) | 0.133** (0.025) | 0.162** (0.055) | 0.130** (0.025) | 0.162** (0.056) |
| Number of children in household | −0.099* (0.040) | −0.177 (0.108) | −0.109** (0.040) | −0.177 (0.108) | −0.108** (0.040) | −0.177 (0.108) |
| Number of informal workers | 0.077 (0.041) | −0.050 (0.092) | 0.041 (0.041) | −0.077 (0.096) | 0.041 (0.041) | −0.077 (0.095) |
| Informal family business | −0.124 (0.142) | 0.487 (0.256) | −0.175 (0.143) | 0.449 (0.260) | −0.191 (0.143) | 0.450 (0.260) |
| Household income | −0.020** (0.008) | −0.002 (0.007) | −0.017* (0.007) | −0.001 (0.006) | −0.016* (0.007) | −0.001 (0.006) |
| Contextual Variables | ||||||
| Mean wages | −0.065** (0.011) | −0.025 (0.027) | −0.067** (0.011) | −0.026 (0.027) | −0.068** (0.011) | −0.026 (0.027) |
| Unemployment rate | −0.031 (0.031) | −0.015 (0.070) | −0.035 (0.031) | −0.031 (0.070) | −0.036 (0.031) | −0.031 (0.070) |
| Percentage informal workers | 0.003 (0.007) | 0.013 (0.014) | 0.007 (0.007) | 0.015 (0.014) | 0.007 (0.007) | 0.015 (0.014) |
| International migrant networks | 0.037** (0.007) | 0.053** (0.015) | 0.036** (0.007) | 0.051** (0.015) | 0.036** (0.007) | 0.051** (0.015) |
| Urbanization (baseline 15,000 to 99,999) | ||||||
| Population greater than 100,000 | −0.332** (0.110) | 0.121 (0.271) | −0.310** (0.110) | 0.113 (0.275) | −0.308** (0.110) | 0.113 (0.275) |
| Oversampled city | −0.362** (0.111) | −0.230 (0.279) | −0.357** (0.111) | −0.216 (0.281) | −0.356** (0.111) | −0.216 (0.281) |
| Region (baseline South) | ||||||
| Northwest | 0.530** (0.157) | 0.755* (0.344) | 0.544** (0.156) | 0.759* (0.347) | 0.547** (0.156) | 0.759* (0.347) |
| Northeast | 0.801** (0.164) | 1.016* (0.409) | 0.805** (0.165) | 1.072** (0.408) | 0.806** (0.165) | 1.072** (0.408) |
| Center | 0.591** (0.120) | 0.425 (0.308) | 0.579** (0.120) | 0.452 (0.305) | 0.574** (0.120) | 0.452 (0.305) |
| Center-west | 0.956** (0.123) | 0.893** (0.302) | 0.974** (0.124) | 0.923** (0.303) | 0.974** (0.124) | 0.923** (0.303) |
| Recession | −0.516** (0.100) | −0.230 (0.258) | −0.516** (0.100) | −0.227 (0.259) | −0.517** (0.100) | −0.227 (0.258) |
| Constant | −3.749** (0.301) | −7.044** (0.683) | −3.911** (0.304) | −7.104** (0.693) | −3.931** (0.304) | −7.102** (0.692) |
| Pseudo-R2 | .0618 | .0661 | .0666 | |||
| n | 299159 | 298976 | 298976 | |||
Note: Standard errors are adjusted for within-household clustering using a Huber/White estimator.
*
p < .05,
**
p < .01 (two-tailed tests)