Table 3.
Results of multinomial logit models predicting international migration for work and other reasons for Mexican women, 2005–2010
| Model 1
|
Model 2
|
Model 3
|
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For Work | For Other | For Work | For Other | For Work | For Other | |
| Age (baseline 15 to 24 years) | ||||||
| 25 to 34 years | −0.161 (0.195) | 0.177 (0.194) | −0.133 (0.194) | 0.187 (0.194) | −0.131 (0.193) | 0.184 (0.193) |
| 35 to 44 years | −0.663** (0.247) | −0.859** (0.287) | −0.635* (0.249) | −0.852** (0.288) | −0.632** (0.247) | −0.860** (0.286) |
| 45 to 55 years | −0.836** (0.323) | −0.715* (0.291) | −0.870** (0.331) | −0.711* (0.292) | −0.866** (0.336) | −0.721* (0.285) |
| Education (baseline less than primary) | ||||||
| Complete primary | 0.823* (0.335) | −0.239 (0.333) | 0.802* (0.337) | −0.232 (0.335) | 0.802* (0.337) | −0.232 (0.335) |
| Complete middle school | 0.724* (0.315) | −0.197 (0.333) | 0.724* (0.315) | −0.183 (0.337) | 0.724* (0.315) | −0.186 (0.336) |
| Complete high school or technical degree | 1.064** (0.323) | 0.235 (0.334) | 1.087** (0.327) | 0.257 (0.341) | 1.088** (0.328) | 0.254 (0.341) |
| Complete college or more | 1.123** (0.325) | 0.929** (0.323) | 1.181** (0.332) | 0.972** (0.334) | 1.181** (0.333) | 0.968** (0.333) |
| Marital Status (baseline single) | ||||||
| Married | −0.408 (0.223) | −0.64** (0.218) | −0.441* (0.225) | −0.647** (0.219) | −0.440 (0.227) | −0.650** (0.220) |
| Cohabiting | 0.183 (0.363) | −1.122** (0.269) | 0.155 (0.371) | −1.124** (0.270) | 0.155 (0.372) | −1.127** (0.270) |
| Separated, divorced, or widowed | 0.615* (0.279) | −0.224 (0.285) | 0.634* (0.281) | −0.224 (0.286) | 0.635* (0.283) | −0.228 (0.288) |
| Born Out of State | 0.204 (0.227) | 0.669** (0.170) | 0.202 (0.227) | 0.667** (0.170) | 0.201 (0.227) | 0.668** (0.170) |
| Employment (baseline not economically active) | ||||||
| Employed | 0.153 (0.180) | −0.715** (0.159) | ||||
| Employed informal sector | 0.216 (0.203) | −0.606** (0.187) | ||||
| Employed informal: Self-employed | 0.196 (0.281) | −0.506 (0.307) | ||||
| Employed informal: Other | 0.223 (0.221) | −0.650** (0.208) | ||||
| Employed formal sector | −0.023 (0.203) | −0.817** (0.198) | −0.024 (0.203) | −0.814** (0.198) | ||
| Unemployed | 0.024 (0.302) | 0.132 (0.285) | 0.000 (0.301) | 0.120 (0.285) | 0.000 (0.301) | 0.120 (0.285) |
| Household Variables | ||||||
| Number of household members | 0.261** (0.049) | 0.109** (0.042) | 0.264** (0.049) | 0.112** (0.042) | 0.264** (0.049) | 0.112** (0.042) |
| Number of children in household | −0.292** (0.084) | −0.248** (0.091) | −0.294** (0.085) | −0.252** (0.090) | −0.294** (0.085) | −0.252** (0.090) |
| Number of informal workers | 0.082 (0.090) | −0.033 (0.075) | 0.066 (0.094) | −0.041 (0.072) | 0.066 (0.094) | −0.040 (0.072) |
| Informal family business | −0.186 (0.287) | 0.585** (0.221) | −0.270 (0.290) | 0.577** (0.224) | −0.271 (0.289) | 0.578** (0.224) |
| Household income | −0.034* (0.014) | 0.006** (0.002) | −0.030* (0.013) | 0.006** (0.002) | −0.030* (0.013) | 0.006** (0.002) |
| Contextual Variables | ||||||
| Mean wages | −0.035 (0.020) | −0.011 (0.017) | −0.039* (0.020) | −0.011 (0.017) | −0.039* (0.020) | −0.011 (0.017) |
| Unemployment rate | −0.184** (0.067) | 0.046 (0.072) | −0.187** (0.067) | 0.045 (0.072) | −0.187** (0.067) | 0.046 (0.072) |
| Percentage informal workers | −0.015 (0.013) | −0.022 (0.013) | −0.013 (0.013) | −0.021 (0.013) | −0.013 (0.013) | −0.022 (0.013) |
| International migrant networks | 0.030* (0.014) | 0.066** (0.014) | 0.031* (0.014) | 0.067** (0.014) | 0.031* (0.014) | 0.067** (0.014) |
| Urbanization (baseline 15,000 to 99,999) | ||||||
| Population greater than 100,000 | −0.244 (0.218) | 0.651** (0.245) | −0.247 (0.218) | 0.657** (0.245) | −0.247 (0.218) | 0.656** (0.245) |
| Oversampled city | −0.169 (0.219) | 0.453* (0.219) | −0.158 (0.220) | 0.454* (0.219) | −0.158 (0.220) | 0.455* (0.219) |
| Region (baseline South) | ||||||
| Northwest | 1.218** (0.348) | 1.040** (0.287) | 1.183** (0.345) | 1.040** (0.287) | 1.183** (0.344) | 1.040** (0.287) |
| Northeast | 1.582** (0.352) | 1.541** (0.317) | 1.542** (0.353) | 1.543** (0.318) | 1.542** (0.353) | 1.544** (0.317) |
| Center | 0.675** (0.261) | 0.030 (0.244) | 0.672** (0.261) | 0.028 (0.244) | 0.672** (0.261) | 0.029 (0.244) |
| Center-west | 0.949** (0.300) | 0.831** (0.237) | 0.945** (0.301) | 0.830** (0.237) | 0.944** (0.301) | 0.831** (0.237) |
| Recession | −0.207 (0.209) | −0.398* (0.169) | −0.183 (0.208) | −0.399* (0.169) | −0.183 (0.208) | −0.399* (0.169) |
| Constant | −6.089** (0.610) | −6.297** (0.611) | −6.080** (0.609) | −6.342** (0.606) | −6.081** (0.609) | −6.337** (0.605) |
| Pseudo-R2 | .0752 | .0756 | .0756 | |||
| n | 336177 | 336087 | 336086 | |||
Note: Standard errors are adjusted for within-household clustering using a Huber/White estimator.
*
p < .05,
**
p < .01 (two-tailed tests)